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Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 04:47 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 1,849
Posted By rwperu34
Re: Introduction to Five Tools Analysis: Hitting

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What's your opinion on the Moneyball idea that tools/scouts are largely irrelevant and all you need is a player's stats?


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As a two decade "prospecter", I can tell you...
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 04:30 PM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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If someone can explain to me how a summation of outcomes can change depending on the team you're on in baseball atleast in terms of value, I'd be quite interested to...
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 04:28 PM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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What kind of trade value could the Twins potentially get for Nathan?

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A lot. Probably a core type player plus a second or third tier prospect.
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 04:25 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 1,849
Posted By rwperu34
Re: Introduction to Five Tools Analysis: Hitting

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Why is hitting for average a tool and controlling the plate for high OBP not? OBP >>> BA.



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Once you get to MLB, this is true. Drawing walks is a secondary skill...
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 04:18 PM
Replies: 56
Views: 1,849
Posted By rwperu34
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 04:06 PM
Replies: 826
Views: 6,646
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***yankees official offseason thread*****

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I'm not an American League follower, but Warner was declaring that Young was a center fielder, and a better one defensively than Melkey.

Was he just being Warnery?

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...
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 05:35 AM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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Can you explain why the Yankees wouldn't dump someone like Wang for a higher EV player like Evan Longoria if you're looking for the most +EV (summation of outcomes, I mean we're not...
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 05:17 AM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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If someone can explain to me how a summation of outcomes can change depending on the team you're on in baseball atleast in terms of value, I'd be quite interested to hear the explanation. ...
Forum: Sporting Events 12-01-2007, 01:39 AM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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It is possible to improve defensively, you know. Just because people thought he couldn't hack it doesn't mean he can't, and the only data we have on him shows that Lind is a average or...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 11:34 PM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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Reed Johnson is definitely a better fielder, but Lind was good in 2007.

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As much as I wish Lind was good in the field, he isn't.

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Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 10:28 PM
Replies: 371
Views: 4,084
Posted By rwperu34
Re: *** Official NY Mets Our OFFSEASON Has Come Thread ***

I don't want to come off as somebody in the anti-Church camp, I'm not. I think he's a pretty good ballplayer overall. If you can keep him as half of a platoon, he's really good. I'm sure you guys can...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 10:03 PM
Replies: 371
Views: 4,084
Posted By rwperu34
Re: *** Official NY Mets Our OFFSEASON Has Come Thread ***

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PECOTA > whatever other projections so I ignore them.

I can't find much that says Church wasn't awesome defensively.

I don't know if you can espouse your own opinions or just...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 07:56 PM
Replies: 826
Views: 6,646
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***yankees official offseason thread*****

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Everything I've heard is that the Twins don't want Wang or Cano because they don't want to have to pay either of them.

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Also, Wang on turf will have a negative...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 07:53 PM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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Ok, you're right, he isn't actually overpaid. After putting together back to back seasons of below average (for CF) hitting I don't know that he is violently underpaid either. I think...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 07:14 PM
Replies: 826
Views: 6,646
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***yankees official offseason thread*****

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Now will you concede that stupid point you made earlier about EV being the only determinant of good/bad personnel decisions?


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WTF are you talking about? First of all,...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 07:09 PM
Replies: 371
Views: 4,084
Posted By rwperu34
Re: *** Official NY Mets Our OFFSEASON Has Come Thread ***

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they would have sent Gomez down to New Orleans to get his at bats

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Gomez probably needs a full year, or close to it, in AAA. He'll likely get most of that. This trade...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 07:04 PM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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That and Crisp is overpaid, fragile and forgot how to hit.


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Crisp is violently underpaid.

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Melky has a lot more "upside". If I was rwperu I'd say...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 06:08 PM
Replies: 826
Views: 6,646
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***yankees official offseason thread*****

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I still think Kennedy + Melky + someone not named Hughes, Cano or Chamberlain is enough and will likely go through.

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I agree with this sentiment, although the Twins...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 05:54 PM
Replies: 371
Views: 4,084
Posted By rwperu34
Re: *** Official NY Mets Our OFFSEASON Has Come Thread ***

This deal is good for both teams...the Nationals and my fantasy baseball team!
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 05:52 PM
Replies: 371
Views: 4,084
Posted By rwperu34
Re: *** Official NY Mets Our OFFSEASON Has Come Thread ***

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According to Metsblog, Jason Stark (fwiw) says the following:

“The Mets have been looking for a defensive-minded catcher who could lead a staff, and Brian Schneider does that as well as...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-30-2007, 05:47 PM
Replies: 371
Views: 4,084
Posted By rwperu34
Re: *** Official NY Mets Our OFFSEASON Has Come Thread ***

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Milledge would've likely been a well below average regular this season.


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Milledge's luck adjusted line for for 2007;

.304/.369/.478
Forum: Sporting Events 11-29-2007, 02:40 PM
Replies: 213
Views: 2,068
Posted By rwperu34
Re: For Dissection....2008 Red Sox Roster........

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That is actually a reasonable package of prospects for Santana.

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This would be a huge deal for the Twins, much better than I thought they'd get.

So long as the Red Sox...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-29-2007, 02:34 PM
Replies: 74
Views: 623
Posted By rwperu34
Re: Phillies NL EAST CHAMPS offseason thread!

Misinformation-I though I edited out, but Capuano and Vargas are NOT going to be nontendered. I misread the original article. They could be had in trades, but I doubt Philly has the goods.

Lohse...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-29-2007, 06:56 AM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

I'm going to leave this discussion with this. There are a few things I'd be willing to bet on.

1. Delmon Young will outproduce his PECOTA/ZIPS projection. I don't even know what his PECOTA OPS...
Forum: Sporting Events 11-29-2007, 06:50 AM
Replies: 322
Views: 3,210
Posted By rwperu34
Re: ***Official 2007-2008 MLB Offseason Thread***

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Dude, what are you talking about? Once a pitcher demonstrates an ability to rape AA and AAA he's not NEARLY as risky as before. Garza is great in the stat that most accurately reflects...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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