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Search: Posts Made By: TheFan83
Forum: Strategie: Holdem NL cash [German] 11-13-2007, 01:07 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 250
Posted By TheFan83
Re: [Artikel] Winrates - Varianz

Ich hab das gesums geschrieben ist schon ein bisschen her..

Das die Pokerverteilung keine Normalverteilung ist ist richtig, aber ich denke (nehme einfach mal an) das wenn man es auf mehrere Hände...
Forum: Poker Allgemein: Poker in general 09-02-2007, 11:31 AM
Replies: 88
Views: 1,386
Posted By TheFan83
Re: Deutsche Poker Blogs

www.fold4value.de (http://www.fold4value.de)
Forum: Poker Allgemein: Poker in general 08-31-2007, 11:39 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 160
Posted By TheFan83
Re: Gibts hier irgenwelche MSNL Spieler?

NL 1k - nl 400 wenn tische schlecht sind.
Allerdings auf Stars wenns einen Unterschied macht (ist ja untypisch für die deutsche ps.de generation)

Schreib dir icq per pm, bin allerdings bald nen...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-09-2007, 04:27 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 148
Posted By TheFan83
Re: BB defend

At the beginning there are 1,5 bb in the pot and both are dealt 2 random cards. So without the position factor everybody has an equity of 50% of that 1,5bb = 0.75bb.
But bb has 1bb in there, so he...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-08-2007, 08:01 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 148
Posted By TheFan83
Re: BB defend

I personally wouldnt cbet almost at all vs someone whos calling range is so strong. Take a freecard and gain even more equity. I would bet my good hands and make some bluffbets of course.

You need...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-08-2007, 04:51 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 148
Posted By TheFan83
Re: BB defend

What really kills someone opening to loose is 3betting him loose yes.

If you reraise him 30% of the time and call 15% we get to a point where i cant open that loose.
This will get more value for...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-08-2007, 05:22 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 148
Posted By TheFan83
Re: BB defend

Im sorry, didnt read it /images/graemlins/frown.gif

The Tag would be NLCASH, dont know how to edit.
(The Video was NLTRN though)

My Point of view is more suitable to Sngs, because you dont...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-08-2007, 04:44 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 148
Posted By TheFan83
Re: BB defend

But you have to admit that if you defend that tight i can raise 72o and just wait for a fullhouse on the flop an would make a profit.

But i know what you mean, thats why im asking. Dont take it as...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 08-08-2007, 04:03 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 148
Posted By TheFan83
BB defend NLCASH

Ok i saw cwar actually folding A7o in the BB in his hu video vs a 3xbb raise.

Obviously hes a great player so i think might underestimate the reverse implied odds concept.

But heres my thought...
Forum: BBV [German] 07-30-2007, 07:23 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 164
Posted By TheFan83
Re: Welcher Weg ist der beste?

deswegen heisst er ja auch schon ideal ^^
Forum: BBV [German] 07-30-2007, 07:06 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 164
Posted By TheFan83
Re: Welcher Weg ist der beste?

Den satz hab ich ausversehen grade formuliert als ich jemandem die Situation erklärt hab /images/graemlins/wink.gif

btw martenJ, bist du der ehemals Mart83 oder so ähnlich auf stars?
Forum: BBV [German] 07-30-2007, 06:54 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 164
Posted By TheFan83
Re: Welcher Weg ist der beste?

hey, wieso der move?

Ich wollte erst mal die Reaktionen abwarten aber es hat schon einen Pokerrelevanten Hintergrund und hat nichts mit BBV zu tun.

Folgende Situation:

Hu-SNG blinds bei...
Forum: Poker Allgemein: Poker in general 07-30-2007, 04:01 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 158
Posted By TheFan83
Welcher Weg ist der beste?

ot-ML-11443859-ML-
Forum: BBV [German] 07-30-2007, 04:01 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 164
Posted By TheFan83
Welcher Weg ist der beste?

der perfekt oder der ideale?
Forum: Medium Stakes 07-29-2007, 09:17 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 86
Posted By TheFan83
Re: 3/6 - Can\'t come up with a range

AQ or KQ and raise 4 free showdown (or 88)
Forum: Heads Up Poker 05-29-2007, 03:11 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 60
Posted By TheFan83
Re: NLCASH: Whether or not to play unexploitably

Always value-betting is not playing unexploitable.

As you said the opponent might push you off a hand on the turn if you just check your bad hands.

Unexploitable play is alot mixed up play,...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 03-15-2007, 11:39 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 85
Posted By TheFan83
Re: variance in $50 NL heads up

Yes, i started playing Hu with a 65% winrate over the first 300 games or something.

Then i suddenly couldnt win anymore, it was just like the situation descriped, if i lead with 2800 to 200 chips,...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 03-13-2007, 04:58 PM
Replies: 11
Poll: HU SnG's
Views: 66
Posted By TheFan83
Re: HU SnG\'s

Correction, its 5% winningrate, its 10% roi as a standard deviation for 100 games, so thats very large.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 03-13-2007, 03:31 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 55
Posted By TheFan83
Is he bluffing a busted draw? (NLTRN)

55$ turbo hu @Stars

pokerhand (http://www.pokerhand.org/?901971 )

I have shown him a bluff a few hands ago.
Its still early in the match and i dont know the opponent.

Im pretty sure he is...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 03-13-2007, 03:20 PM
Replies: 11
Poll: HU SnG's
Views: 66
Posted By TheFan83
Re: HU SnG\'s

The Standard Deviation of 100 games is 5% roi (n*p*q)
so being stuck after 100 games is not really impossible even for a 15% roi winner.
Also if you look at the longterm winners at sharkscope that...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 03-12-2007, 09:42 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 61
Posted By TheFan83
Re: NL Heads Up Play

Against the Player you descriped its pretty easy, just bet every preflop und flop half pot and go away if he shows aggression ( or calls), like you said he has always the best hand then.
Against the...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 03-01-2007, 11:35 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 173
Posted By TheFan83
Re: 1st Hand, $5 HU SNG

I like markpal's advice more.

You just dont have > 60% range against his range ( u dont even have > 50% against a reasonable player, but 60 is what i want here).

A player at this level...
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