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Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 03:12 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 170
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: the proof is in the pudding

Can someone do the math for me on how it could be profitable to lay 3:2 on 60 out of 100 picks? No terms were stipulated, but let's say a normal betting pattern, no passing up slight EV+ to maintain...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 09:23 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
I really don't think you understand that if this game were played 100 times, NE would cover some of those times. You seem to think this one game has 100% validated your viewpoint, no...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 01:11 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 77
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/03/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BAL)***

Post-Oak is right that Balt is one of the worst teams in the NFL right now...at least playing like one.

None-the-less, the 24.5 spread is still 3-8 right now, and over 21 isn't a whole lot better....
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 12:58 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I guess I don't understand your point then. He said -24.5 against the Eagles was a terrible line


[/ QUOTE ]

Actually, what he effectively said was that anyone who did...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 12:40 AM
Replies: 76
Views: 111
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/29/07 NFL Thursday GAME THREAD (GB @ DAL)***

Buddy and I are on opposite sides of this line so we're doing 1u vig free and I'm taking +6.5. The line's hit 7 so I'm adding another unit, this one with vig.

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 10:38 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i really think the +24 was a overreaction to the buff game. I wonder if we'll see a similar type overreaction to next weeks game vs the ravens. I wouldn't be suprised to see...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 10:30 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Reasoning like this is fantastic. And you wondered why people weren't taking you seriously and making fun of you and the other Pats fanbois.


[/ QUOTE ]

100+ posts...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 11:10 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
As for being 3-7 against -24, if you don't think gelling w/ 3 new receivers takes time, then perhaps you should get your head checked. How about looking at first 5 games/next 5 games...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-23-2007, 02:53 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
Anyone that bets against NE at ANY line under 30 deserves what they get imo.

[/ QUOTE ]

Pats -24.5 is 3-7 this year, so thanks for the well thought out advice.

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-23-2007, 12:03 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 57
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

What puts you on Skins +3? You're definitely on the wrong side of that line...

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-23-2007, 12:02 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
CIN, CLE, and MIA all covered 21 vs the Pats.

[/ QUOTE ]

The Pats back-door covered against Clev as Clev was down 10 and driving with a minute left...fumble rec for TD screwed...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-23-2007, 11:54 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 38
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: Cinci vs ten

Try here. (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=13060673&an=0&page=0&gonew=1#UNREAD)

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-22-2007, 11:47 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 133
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
This thread makes me want to jump off a building.

[/ QUOTE ]

Pavement -22.5

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-22-2007, 11:26 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 57
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

Not convinced of the value of Clev -3.5 quite yet with Houston having A Johnson and Schaub. I'll hit it for a unit if it goes to 3, but 3.5 seems marginal to me.

TB I like, and teasers of course....
Forum: Sports Betting 11-22-2007, 11:23 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 6
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: Interesting Super Bowl bet?

[ QUOTE ]
LOL at Pats 67% to win SB is +EV.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forum: Sports Betting 11-14-2007, 09:52 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 14
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***

[ QUOTE ]
Also, it is completely unfair to list their yards given up and completely ignore their opponents, which have been mostly solid offenses.

[/ QUOTE ]

Like Miami, NYJ (2x), and Balt?
...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-14-2007, 06:35 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 14
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BUF) ***

No Lynch now, so I'm betting Pats -15.5.

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-12-2007, 10:51 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 58
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

If CMac and Rolle are both out, I may go four units on the Browns.

Same if McNair is the starter...maybe five...but the odds on that happening are about 0.2%.

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-10-2007, 11:22 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 6
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: Paperchamp\'s NFL Week 10

Why the Chargers? I like Indi on that side.

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-09-2007, 10:25 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 7
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: Lock of the millenium (Dallas -1 @ NYG)

[ QUOTE ]
Dallas wins this game atleast 85% of the time, IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]

I bet you're right about that 59% of the time...

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-09-2007, 10:24 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 7
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: Lock of the millenium (Dallas -1 @ NYG)

[ QUOTE ]
OMG, WTF do those trends even mean?

[/ QUOTE ]

NYG are a lock obv.

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-09-2007, 10:19 AM
Replies: 68
Views: 28
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL AFTERNOON GAME THREAD ***

[ QUOTE ]
Mortgage your house. Mortgage your kids. Take Dallas -1 this week vs. the NYG. It doesn't get any easier than this. I am flying out to vegas this week just so I can bet as much as possible...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-09-2007, 10:17 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 10
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: NFL Week 10 player props thread

Where do you find 1st vs. 2nd half INTs?

He's thrown at least one INT in 7 out of 9 games this year. I don't know first vs. second half break-downs, but even if it's 60% first vs. second half,...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-06-2007, 11:44 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 19
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/11/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

Nice post shipit...

Booked 2u Clev +10 -120, may add more. It's shocking how little respect Clev is getting.

- C -
Forum: Sports Betting 11-06-2007, 11:41 PM
Replies: 112
Views: 6
Posted By psuasskicker
Re: 6 Teams to not make the playoffs- OFFICIAL THREAD

'my other 5 teams are not gonna make it' = No Chance.

- C -
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