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Search took 0.00 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: J_Treez
Forum: Sports Betting 10-25-2007, 07:31 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 104
Posted By J_Treez
Re: World Series Experiment

My much maligned Strat experiment gives the Rockies a %45 percent chance to win after 100 games in Game 2. /images/graemlins/wink.gif So the price for the Rockies is around +115 according to my sim....
Forum: Sports Betting 10-24-2007, 02:07 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 104
Posted By J_Treez
Re: World Series Experiment

Quite possibly. This is just an experiment, I'm not putting a red cent on this.
Forum: Sports Betting 10-24-2007, 12:36 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 104
Posted By J_Treez
Re: World Series Experiment

I ran 50 more games, for a total of 100. COL-49 BOS-51
Forum: Sports Betting 10-24-2007, 12:03 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 104
Posted By J_Treez
Re: World Series Experiment

www.strat-o-matic.com (http://www.strat-o-matic.com)

It only takes a few seconds to run the sim, but between renovating my house and playing poker I don't have much time at all. Most of my time...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-24-2007, 11:43 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 104
Posted By J_Treez
World Series Experiment

I decided to try to use my Strat-o-matic baseball simulator to make picks on the series this year. I've updated all players based on their 2007 stats.So far I've played Game 1 Francis vs. Beckett 50...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-22-2007, 02:56 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 815
Posted By J_Treez
Re: *** OFFICIAL 10/01/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (IND @ JAC)***

If I'm leaning strongly towards betting the over not considering the weather, how much should I let the %40 chance of thunderstorms affect that play?
Forum: Small Stakes 08-07-2007, 01:24 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 22
Posted By J_Treez
Re: NL Autorate Rules: STILL trying

Maybe I should have specified "Full Ring Game", but I'll check bet the pot out for those.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-07-2007, 01:08 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 22
Posted By J_Treez
NL Autorate Rules: STILL trying

As detailed in this post:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=0&Number=11501551&page=
I can't get the link in the SSNL FAQ to the Pokertracker Autorate rules to work. I posted...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-02-2007, 06:20 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 23
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Poker Tracker Autorate Rules

That's the link that doesn't work.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-02-2007, 02:52 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 23
Posted By J_Treez
Poker Tracker Autorate Rules

I've tried for 3 days to get the link in the SSNL FAQ for the NL Autorate rules to work. I guess it's dead. Can anybody hook me up?
Forum: Sports Betting 10-29-2006, 02:07 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 78
Posted By J_Treez
Please remind me of a basic...

Sorry to ask such a simple question, but I'd rather be right than look smart. I haven't bet sports in a year or so, so I forget... NFL homefield advantage is basically worth 3 points, correct?
Forum: Sports Betting 01-11-2006, 10:06 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 143
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Tue cbb system games

[ QUOTE ]
Ps. c3 crushes the Najdorf since it renders it useless

[/ QUOTE ]

I used to have a computer that played c3 every time I played the Sicilian. I hated that. I must have researched how...
Forum: Sports Betting 01-09-2006, 12:18 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 373
Posted By J_Treez
Re: mon cbb system games 66-39-2

Oh, it looks like the UCSB game is going to -5. I snagged it on Pinnacle still at -4.5
Forum: Sports Betting 01-09-2006, 12:15 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 373
Posted By J_Treez
Re: mon cbb system games 66-39-2

Those notes are Najdorf approved. That's the official "Najdorf and Friends" seal of approval as far as I'm concerned.

And there HAS to be a breakfast cereal to tie in with the kids show.
Forum: Sports Betting 01-09-2006, 11:58 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 373
Posted By J_Treez
Re: mon cbb system games 66-39-2

Here's my notes on it:

1) We bet home teams favored by less than 5 pts
2) No big 'rivalry' matchups, however.
3) We exclude matchups with both teams in the top 25.


Essentially, we feel...
Forum: Sports Betting 01-08-2006, 12:41 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 215
Posted By J_Treez
Re: sunday cbb system games

Thanks. Still getting a handle on the intricacies of all these voodoo schools. But it's nice to have something to do until baseball starts.
Forum: Sports Betting 01-08-2006, 12:12 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 215
Posted By J_Treez
Re: sunday cbb system games

St. Josephs -3.5? Is this a rivalry or something?

***EDIT-w/ Temple I should say***
Forum: Sports Betting 01-08-2006, 10:43 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 140
Posted By J_Treez
Najdorf System Sunday Question for noon game

In Michigan St. @ Wisconsin it's Wisconsin -3.

Michigan St. is ranked like 7 or so on the AP and USA Today polls.However, the polls differ on Wisconsin. Not rated on the AP, but #23 on USA Today....
Forum: Sports Betting 01-07-2006, 12:27 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 161
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Fri games CBB system 54-26-2

Good eye on that Manhattan situation guy.
Forum: Sports Betting 01-06-2006, 12:31 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 525
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Thu games CBB system 48-21-2

Yeah, Manhattan is hot and you've got a good ticket with just the Loyola game it appears.

I'm going to bet Iona -5 for two reasons, which may prove not worth a damn.

(1)It fits the system. I'm...
Forum: Sports Betting 01-06-2006, 11:54 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 525
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Thu games CBB system 48-21-2

Iona is at -5 on sportsbook.
Forum: Sports Betting 01-06-2006, 10:42 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 525
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Thu games CBB system 48-21-2

Ditto. 6-5 with the Aloha finale.
Fairfield and ASU both kind of sucked, but whatcha gonna do?
Forum: Sports Betting 01-05-2006, 09:10 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 525
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Thu games CBB system 48-21-2

Ok, I either misinterpreted what I saw or Feist had it wrong on the line history. Thanks, because I was really curious on this point.
Forum: Sports Betting 01-05-2006, 07:45 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 525
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Thu games CBB system 48-21-2

Yeah, I wondered about that.
I'm on CS Sac -4
Forum: Sports Betting 01-05-2006, 12:07 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 525
Posted By J_Treez
Re: Thu games CBB system 48-21-2

E. Kentucky starts as a pick and moves to -1. What's the play there?
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