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Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 09:04 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 185
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: the proof is in the pudding

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odds of the bet being placed are next to 0

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I think they may be a bit higher than this.

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Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 08:49 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 185
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: the proof is in the pudding

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offering to bet when you know no bet will be placed

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I am certainly hoping one will be placed!!! Edges are hard enough to find - I push them when I can get...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 08:39 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 185
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: the proof is in the pudding

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I don't agree that it's just an e-peen thing. The regulars in this forum enjoy betting and always have their eyes open for +EV bets. If someone comes in making outlandish...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 08:37 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 185
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: the proof is in the pudding

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I don't agree that it's just an e-peen thing. The regulars in this forum enjoy betting and always have their eyes open for +EV bets. If someone comes in making outlandish statements,...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 07:31 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 185
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: the proof is in the pudding

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i MAKE 3 to 1 on my money.

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lol
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 09:58 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 35
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Mayweather v. Hatton (9/12/07)

It's 24/7. Watch that show and ur emotions will overcome your logic and suddenly you'll find yourself wanting to bet on hatton.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 04:11 PM
Replies: 63
Views: 46
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays

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I didn't think he was being sarcastic but I've been known to miss some pretty obvious ones in my time.
After reading that one again it still feels like he legitimately believes in those...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 03:09 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 26
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays

wait we're supposed to follow these? I'm gonna bet $1 on each one
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 01:55 PM
Replies: 63
Views: 46
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays

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fading guys who are on hot streaks and occasionally going with guys who are on a rough patch

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I was under the impression he was being sarcastic so I was...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 11:05 AM
Replies: 63
Views: 46
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays

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"the only way to win following these guys is when they are hot."


I agree that if I take the picks that happen to be winners then that should work out very well.

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What...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 10:20 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 15
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Insightful Betting Lines *DELETED*

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Post deleted by Performify

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Performify is too fast for me. Now I'll never know..
Forum: Medium Stakes 11-28-2007, 04:35 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 11
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Couple spots vs same LAG, 5/10 NL live

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crai is very standard.

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agreed, u have 50bb. I dont' beleive in making reads with 50bb when u have an overpair.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 04:32 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 15
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Insightful Betting Lines

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seppaku

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seppuku, are you asian or just have the fetish?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 12:43 AM
Replies: 5
MMA
Views: 17
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: MMA

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That Lyoto line was free money.

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The question is whether or not to arb my position.... I certainly think a +150 sokou is +EV...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 12:21 AM
Replies: 5
MMA
Views: 17
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: MMA

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That Lyoto line is interesting.

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It's also long gone, as is the GSP line I posted.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 10:39 PM
Replies: 5
MMA
Views: 17
Posted By igetbadbeat
MMA

32521 CLAY GUIDA -140
32522 ROGER HUERTA +110
MIXED MARTIAL ARTS - Dec 15HDNET FIGHTS-2: " RECKLESS ABANDON " - DALLAS, TX - $250OFFICIAL WEBSITE: www.HDNETFIGHTS.COM8...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 01:37 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 32
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: chuck liddel VS wanderlei silva, who wins and how will the line op

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what does EV stand for?

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Expected value.

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Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 11:26 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 32
Posted By igetbadbeat
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 10:57 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 32
Posted By igetbadbeat
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 09:45 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 32
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: chuck liddel VS wanderlei silva, who wins and how will the line op

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it seems as though too many ppl seem to think that silva will walk through chuck, but styles make fights and i honestly believe chuck is a bad match up for silva. i just dont see silva...
Forum: Medium Stakes 11-26-2007, 03:59 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 9
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: 400NL: Weird river bet in 3bet pot

I snap call, i don't see how a shove is profitable.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 03:22 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 50
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies

The OP's lines are not reduced juice...they are errant lines.

If I could get +110 on all the spreads, I'd be rich too.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 07:09 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 14
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Bankroll Management Question

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Well I know you readjust, but why every play rather than a set number of plays (say 150 or so). is there math behind this?

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Which is more accurate(assuming GW Bushi isn't...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 06:56 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 14
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: Bankroll Management Question

I like to readjust instantly or go with a set amount of gambling capital/power.

That is, kelly bet based on a set number like 30K. Of course the way i do it, this is much more conservative since...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-19-2007, 10:16 AM
Replies: 81
Views: 26
Posted By igetbadbeat
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

Afterthoughts minus hindsight bias

32501 MICHAEL BISPING +215
32502 RASHAD EVANS -275

This was an ultracompetitive fight but realistically how often does Bisping actually win? 50/50 is...
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