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Forum: Probability 11-12-2007, 02:56 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 6
Posted By kerpowski
Kurtosis risk

It seems to me that the standard poker bankroll requirement calcs run on the assumption that pot sizes are normally distributed. In NL games this is certainly not the case. As an example a set of...
Forum: Medium Stakes 06-24-2007, 12:26 PM
Replies: 1,726
Views: 17
Posted By kerpowski
Re: Official June Thread: General Discussion/etc

Sponger,

I know it was you and have been hoping you play me in a moment of boredom or weakness. All you have to do is say "kerp... never" and I'll leave you alone.
Forum: Medium Stakes 03-12-2007, 06:34 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 41
Posted By kerpowski
Re: kerpowski\'s minraise open

KoD,

I don't really want to go into detail about adjustments beyond what I've already done (e.g. hand range adjustments, postflop adjustments, and adjustments vs deeper stacks) as I think that...
Forum: Medium Stakes 03-12-2007, 10:50 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 41
Posted By kerpowski
Re: kerpowski\'s minraise open

[ QUOTE ]
In a 100BBs cashgame the raise just has no purpose.

[/ QUOTE ]

To say this without any mathmatical analysis of the strategy seems lazy at best, ignorant at worst. Using terms...
Forum: Medium Stakes 03-12-2007, 12:19 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 41
Posted By kerpowski
Re: kerpowski\'s minraise open

yeah, if you're who I think you are then you're one of the only people who's adjusted very well. you might play back a bit too much OOP, esp considering that I'll be seeing the flop in position with...
Forum: Medium Stakes 03-12-2007, 12:02 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 41
Posted By kerpowski
Re: kerpowski\'s minraise open

ding! we have a winner...

the minraise strat has some advantages over certain lineups and it is at least slightly more difficult to play vs others, especially in EP. I've been doing it across...
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 01-07-2007, 10:08 PM
Replies: 36
Views: 37
Posted By kerpowski
Re: ALL MY ACCOUNTS WERE HACKED INTO

CinidyLynn the retarded shortstacker on FTP has also tried this with me... at least I didn't click on the binary.
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 01-07-2007, 07:58 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 7
Posted By kerpowski
response to KingNeo...

So my QQ beat your AA allin pre... but that was the one bright spot in my entire weekend:

Seat 1: kerpowski ($5,075)
Seat 2: zimp721 ($9,289)
Seat 3: iRockhoes ($12,995)
Seat 4: deerchaser21...
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 11-20-2006, 10:11 PM
Replies: 99
Poll: physics BBV
Views: 14
Posted By kerpowski
Re: physics BBV

[ QUOTE ]
can i get a link to grim's post where he claimed this

[/ QUOTE ]

same here
Forum: High Stakes 08-10-2006, 12:32 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 4
Posted By kerpowski
Re: ANALYZE THIS: 2 25/50 AK hands

cardshark,

Hand #1 is an easy call. If he does this with QQ+ here (which Gravity definitely will, and possibly more) you're nearly a coinflip getting 10600:4400. Even if he only has KK+ a call...
Forum: High Stakes 07-18-2006, 02:59 PM
Replies: 384
Views: 4
Posted By kerpowski
Re: HSNL [censored] thread. JULY.

[ QUOTE ]
Ratholer is by far one of the biggest winners at 5/10. This was established over a month ago in a MSNL thread where he was villain.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP
Forum: High Stakes 02-21-2006, 07:41 PM
Replies: 45
Views: 4
Posted By kerpowski
Re: turn options on a weird board.

LA,

Can you please elaborate on why you think this is an easy turn pot? Given the raiser's hand range I can only assume you are doing this for fold equity vs better hands and to force the flush...
Forum: Other Other Topics 02-21-2006, 05:48 PM
Replies: 190
Views: 191
Posted By kerpowski
Re: Really F-d up situation I have found myself in...(long)

Joe,

Sorry to hear about this mess. When you are making your decision on this please keep in mind that this is a long term problem. The fact that he has been doing this for 13 years and that he...
Forum: High Stakes 02-10-2006, 03:45 PM
Replies: 223
Views: 4
Posted By kerpowski
Stars response on checking down HU pots

Emailed a stars host I know about whether this type of softplaying (checking down once pot is HU) was considered collusion... snip of response:

"It is worth noting that repeated softplaying...
Forum: High Stakes 01-10-2006, 12:32 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 57
Posted By kerpowski
Re: 50/100 nl hand.

Jay,

What percent of the time do you think he's bluffing the river?

If we give him a reasonable made hand range of:

KK, 66, JJ, A2s+, A2o+, Ks5s+, any two broadway spades, any spade suited...
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