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Forum: Micro Stakes 10-28-2007, 01:43 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 53
Posted By CruS
Re: On Imperfect Imperfection: A Theory Post (Mad Long Yo)

Very nice,
I'll think a little about what I think on the subject and give you an A for the effort.
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-28-2007, 01:35 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 20
Posted By CruS
Re: 10NL, AA flops a set on a monotone board...

shove.
Yes there is a possibility that one of the villains has a flush, but you are only risking 50BB and you have top set.
(unless BB over calls obv)
I would never ever fold this to two short...
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 10-24-2007, 09:00 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 84
Posted By CruS
Re: 7 card stud in the WSOP

yea /images/graemlins/wink.gif
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 10-24-2007, 08:57 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 84
Posted By CruS
Re: 7 card stud in the WSOP

got ya, seems logical, just never ever been in that situation since I raaaarely play stud 7.
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 10-24-2007, 08:54 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 84
Posted By CruS
7 card stud in the WSOP

Just a question, looking at the WSOP H.O.R.S.E event, in the final table, there are 8 players.. what would they do if, when playing 7 card stud, no players fold?
There ain't enough cards in the deck...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 10:05 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 33
Posted By CruS
Re: 25NL AK TPTK semi-deep facing turn donkbet/shove

if he is donking flop because he is weak, he has either Ax or a mid pair or something like that. I would not think he would do that with AT or 66 but I guess it COULD be. When he does the same on the...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 09:53 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 33
Posted By CruS
Re: 25NL AK TPTK semi-deep facing turn donkbet/shove

[ QUOTE ]
I likely call turn as this board is drier than a nun's pussy. Villain's small bet on the turn gives us some pot control here and I think we can probably fold to a large bet on river or...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 09:51 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 60
Posted By CruS
Re: Simple Odds Question

Yeah sorry I made you doubt, been a while since I used math like this, exclusion is a big part of it which I forgot all about /images/graemlins/smile.gif
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 09:42 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 60
Posted By CruS
Re: Simple Odds Question

huh, I thought he was right at first but I drew it up and it was not correct, guess I missed something.
Sorry about that, I will make my trials better before making a statement.
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 09:32 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 60
Posted By CruS
Re: Simple Odds Question

[ QUOTE ]
I think what you're missing is that chance of hitting one of your outs on either street = chance you hit turn + chance you DON'T hit turn AND hit river. You were just adding chance you hit...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 07:48 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 60
Posted By CruS
Re: Simple Odds Question

just to clarify why your math is flawed:
if I were to flip a coin two times, I have "two streets" with 50% to hit.
50% + 50% = 100%! Which is obv wrong.
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 07:42 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 60
Posted By CruS
Re: Simple Odds Question

11 out, 36 "anti outs"
(36/47)*(35/46) = ~0.583
Chance of not hitting = 58%, thus
chance of hitting = 42%
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 07:34 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 50
Posted By CruS
Re: AA deep vs passive villain

im raising the flop and calling a shove, but I still wonder what the because I like the board textures (check out my post in uNL and give me your ideas)
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 07:32 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 70
Posted By CruS
Re: 50nl: AK on draw heavy board

I never said it was bad, but I will mix things up in situations like this. I don't mind getting it in here and I will pick the best line to do it.
(The line that I feel will make the villain commit...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 07:26 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 112
Posted By CruS
Re: I smell blood and try to pounce on a TAGs pot control

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd call you with 86 here.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

~~
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 07:23 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 70
Posted By CruS
Re: 50nl: AK on draw heavy board

if I bet the turn here I shove over his raise. Without a read you can be ahead already, and if not you are most likely in a decent spot.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0:...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 07:03 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 22
Posted By CruS
Big overpairs, Board texture?

Ok so I have been analyzing a little bit of board textures when I have AA.
If I have AA, raise std pf and get one caller.
On the flop, I lead w/o OOP he raises, I 3bet and he shoves. Stacks...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-22-2007, 12:06 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 144
Posted By CruS
Re: 5 Steps to Prevent Holding uNL\'ers Back. (Carpal \\\'Tunnel Post)

Nice one M!
4 and 5 are so important yet kinda hard.
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-20-2007, 07:31 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 239
Posted By CruS
Re: KK on double paired board - Be a Hero?

[ QUOTE ]
easy fold for me because his preflop range is so wide here.

[/ QUOTE ]

This does not make any sense, what do you mean?
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-17-2007, 10:25 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 207
Posted By CruS
Re: 25 Max - QQ vs. a nit, 150 bb deep, bad turn

I like a check here, might induce a bluff or a light calldown on the river. Betting here folds out all hands you beat.
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-17-2007, 05:45 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 73
Posted By CruS
Re: Pocket queens facing a small river bet

[ QUOTE ]
My brother actually came into the room when i was playing this hand and made me jump, and so my arm spazzed out and i clicked the check button on the turn which i wasn't happy about. I...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-17-2007, 05:31 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 168
Posted By CruS
Re: Video NL50 4 Tables @ stars

more elin avatars please /images/graemlins/heart.gif /images/graemlins/heart.gif /images/graemlins/heart.gif
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-17-2007, 05:23 PM
Replies: 2,507
Views: 9,609
Posted By CruS
Re: **Official** uNL Microbrew Thread - October

soooooooo.... anyone folded KK pf for 100 bb lately?
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-17-2007, 05:15 PM
Replies: 109
Views: 420
Posted By CruS
Re: Dont Fold KK PF Picture Contest...entries thus far

http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/3041/foldkk3rx1.jpg
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-17-2007, 04:46 PM
Replies: 109
Views: 420
Posted By CruS
Re: Dont Fold KK PF Picture Contest...entries thus far

http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/4343/foldkk2pw7.jpg
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