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Search: Posts Made By: Post-Oak
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 12:43 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 121
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
he can't scrape together 2 wooden nickels and is trying to go tout, isn't it obvious?

[/ QUOTE ]

Should I be buying TLT's TEN STAR LOCK OF THE WEEK or his 25 DIME GUARANTEED WINNER?
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 12:20 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 121
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
there aren't 100 bettable football games left this year.


[/ QUOTE ]

Don't you bet NCAA basketball or NBA? How about NCAA football? Between NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB and NBA, there...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 03:05 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 121
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: the proof is in the pudding

Cato-tonia/thelyingthief is now in hiding. It seems he was never serious about his wild claims of a 62% win rate.

Thanks for the laugh tlt - keep 'em coming! You do bring some levity to this...
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 01:46 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 121
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: the proof is in the pudding

[ QUOTE ]
my record on twoplustwo, selections vs. spread:

W-Hawaii/Boise
W-Louisville/Rutgers
L-Missouri/Kansas
L-LSU/Ark
W-USC/AriSte
W-Akron/Miami(OH)
W-Nevada/MSte
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 03:45 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 60
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[ QUOTE ]
i have $ at sportsbetting and wagerstreet

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not familiar with either of those sites, so I just checked them out. Sportsbetting has the same selections/lines as...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 01:59 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 17
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: How does a book determine if you\'re a sharp?

[ QUOTE ]
I really know nothing about this, I originally thought a book would only adjust someone's lines if they were a big winner, betting a large amount per game etc, but a friend of mine has...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 01:58 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 59
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/03/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BAL)***

[ QUOTE ]
None-the-less, the 24.5 spread is still 3-8 right now, and over 21 isn't a whole lot better.


[/ QUOTE ]

I'm still not sure how people can quote these facts and escape ridicule...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-29-2007, 01:49 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 115
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
The sharp play on both those lines was completely obvious. One of course was never available.


[/ QUOTE ]

I have NE -14.5 @ Baltimore as a pending bet, and I am not sure I would...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 10:49 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 60
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[ QUOTE ]
anyone know what a good line is for the pats to go 16-0?

[/ QUOTE ]

We have a long thread for that prop. I did some estimates last week (prior to the Philly game but still useful).
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 10:26 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 60
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[ QUOTE ]
so I realize everyone here is saying get on the mia to lose side, but long ago I took a shot at the other side. Got it 13-1, and now I am hoping for some hedging? advice.

[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 04:22 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 60
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

Wow.

I'm sorry to be rude, but through sheer cluelessness you have really muddied the waters in this thread. I'll try to address your points one by one.

[ QUOTE ]
Miami to win 1 game out of...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 05:01 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 60
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[ QUOTE ]
You can bet on Miami to NOT go 0-16 on 5Dimes at -700. I think this prop is massively EV.

Here's Miami's schedule. The lines for the first 3 games are already available. For all of...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 07:19 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 59
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/03/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BAL)***

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Baltimore a bottom 5 team? Not a chance. Their defense is good enough to prevent them from being that bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

This perception is why they are 1-10 ATS...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 01:40 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 59
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/03/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BAL)***

[ QUOTE ]
prob bet on Miami vs Baltimore spread?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, please.

What were you thinking?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 01:24 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 59
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/03/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BAL)***

[ QUOTE ]
Baltimore a bottom 5 team? Not a chance. Their defense is good enough to prevent them from being that bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

This perception is why they are 1-10 ATS this year.

Their...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 01:09 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 59
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/03/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (NE @ BAL)***

[ QUOTE ]
Baltimore probably sucks more than Phi but its gotta be close?

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually, it is not close at all. Philadelphia is an above average team, while Baltimore is one of the...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 02:07 AM
Replies: 105
Views: 45
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Calculating LSU\'s Odds to win National Title

[ QUOTE ]
i think naj is saying that is what the lines would be, not what he thinks they should be. There will be great bias towards OSU vs Mizzou for a BCS championship game where the public comes...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 02:05 AM
Replies: 127
Views: 31
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Patriots line -24.5 before the end of the season?

[ QUOTE ]
I think the point some are making is that, while NWE is 9-2/8-2-1 ATS [aren't you being the results-oriented one here?] they are 3-8 giving 24+ [for future reference.]


[/ QUOTE ]
...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 01:22 AM
Replies: 105
Views: 45
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Calculating LSU\'s Odds to win National Title

[ QUOTE ]
WVu -1 Ohio
WVu -3 Missou
Ohio -3 Missou
Okla -2 Ohio

These are my proj lines, not necessarily where I would place them, as this week's Mizz line is verging on Fla v Ohio weirdness...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 01:19 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 115
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
1) I didn't say *you* said that, I asked you a simple question which you seemed to have ducked.
If laying 24.5-26 with NWE isn't a square bet, what is?

2) Would they miss McNabb? I...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 12:39 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 115
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
You don't think laying 24.5 to a top 12 DVOA team, outscored their opponents, given up <18ppg to opposing offenses, held 4 teams to <=1TD, with a Def backfield that had easily stopped Moss...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 11:43 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 115
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
I guess I don't understand your point then. He said -24.5 against the Eagles was a terrible line


[/ QUOTE ]

Actually, what he effectively said was that anyone who did not bet Phi...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 11:35 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 115
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
Well considering he's talking about two completely different teams in those two posts, I'm not going to draw the same conclusion as you.

[/ QUOTE ]

OK. Thanks for letting me know.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 11:27 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 115
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/25/07 NFL SNF GAME THREAD (PHI @ NE) ***

[ QUOTE ]
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i really think the +24 was a overreaction to the buff game. I wonder if we'll see a similar type overreaction to next weeks game vs the ravens....
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 10:48 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 44
Posted By Post-Oak
Re: Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies

[ QUOTE ]
I don't bet enough with one guy to run away with the money, and we settle up after every week, I actually have 3 different guys and if I bet more than 200 a game I will spread it out along...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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