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Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 11:21 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

lol thanks barrin
Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 08:22 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

Yea I'm wrong. I analyzed net change in my calculations, so the $41.75 should be $28.75.

-$3.23 - .355(41.75-28.75) = -$7.845

-$8.64 - .452(13) = -$14.516.

If we weight both assumptions...
Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 08:16 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

Doing that now and it's not looking good lol.

Calling range becomes 1.7%, or 54.8% of turn betting range.

EV = .452(41.75) + .548(.125(66.95) + .875(-66.95))

EV = -$8.64
Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 08:11 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

FWIW we have like $11 behind after this raise, and so I assumed that if him calling = him shoving. We are essentially shoving, I just wanted to increase FE as much as possiblity and this raise def...
Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 08:08 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

Aight I'm gonna flush out a little math on this.

Villains's 3betting range in this hand is probably something like TT+, AQs+. It shouldn't be this wide, but I'm expanding it a little because,...
Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 07:44 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

[ QUOTE ]
If he's gonna do this, he may as well 4-bet pre.

[/ QUOTE ]

what
Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 07:30 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Re: Hand from Coaching Session

UTG, sorry.
Forum: Small Stakes 11-27-2007, 07:27 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 188
Posted By willw9
Hand from Coaching Session

I'm posting this here because SSNL >> uNL. Hero is my student, who runs about 18/15. Plays a straight-forward, thinking TAG game (as he should). Villain has been unremarkable, not much history,...
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