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Forum: Sporting Events

11-30-2007, 07:10 PM

Replies: 87

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

Views: 1,600

Posted By David Sklansky

Re: Some Simplistic Assumptions That Would Justify My Play

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If you go for one you will win 23%. The touchdown plus half your chances of making a tying field goal.

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Where did this number come from? I'm assuming you used...

Forum: Sporting Events

11-30-2007, 06:57 PM

Replies: 87

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

Views: 1,600

Posted By David Sklansky

Re: Some Simplistic Assumptions That Would Justify My Play

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[ QUOTE ]
First assume that after scoring to go down by four you stop them. (This assumption helps my position because if you go for one and they come back to score a field goal, a rare...

Forum: Sporting Events

11-30-2007, 05:58 PM

Replies: 87

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

Views: 1,600

Posted By David Sklansky

Some Simplistic Assumptions That Would Justify My Play

First assume that after scoring to go down by four you stop them. (This assumption hurts my position because if you go for one and they come back to score a field goal, a rare last second comeback...

Forum: Sporting Events

11-30-2007, 05:25 PM

Replies: 87

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

Views: 1,600

Posted By David Sklansky

Re: Here\'s The Situation

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This isn't just my opinion. Many experts have shown that some of these errors are egregious. The apologists invoke psychology to defend the coaches. But that is usually...

Forum: Sporting Events

11-30-2007, 06:07 AM

Replies: 87

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

Views: 1,600

Posted By David Sklansky

Re: Here\'s The Situation

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ugh.

with 5 min left i dont see much difference between being up 5 or 6. but being up 4 sucks.

5 min is plenty of time for the other team to score and leave some time on the clock....

Forum: Sporting Events

11-30-2007, 05:42 AM

Replies: 87

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

Views: 1,600

Posted By David Sklansky

Here\'s The Situation

First let me say that the general principle in this and many of these scenarios, is the average person or coach's incorrect gut feeling about going for ties that have to be played off. They just...

Forum: Sporting Events

11-30-2007, 01:49 AM

Replies: 87

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

Views: 1,600

Posted By David Sklansky

Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

I think I have, but it depends on some parameters. So before I reveal it I want to ask some preliminary questions. Please don't answer it before thinking about it a little because I won't let you...

Showing results 1 to 7 of 7

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