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Forum: Poker Legislation 09-27-2006, 04:54 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 307
Posted By jai
Re: Received 2 Responses Today. Noteworthy?

Meh. I think what this means is that they have received enough inquiries into this over the past few weeks to now have stock answers ready. Like most Congressmen, they don't believe Internet...
Forum: Omaha/8 09-25-2006, 07:00 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 57
Posted By jai
Re: Tough Spot PLO8

I think the turn is a fold against most players in that game. If you think your two-pair outs will scoop a high percentage of the time, I guess you could call, but otherwise the play is -EV against...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 09-16-2006, 05:02 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 479
Posted By jai
Re: Omaha 8 article -- The Flaws

[ QUOTE ]
The summation in your first post tied things together nicely, I thought. (I'm not sure equity and EV are the same thing, but don't let's even go there /images/graemlins/smile.gif )

[/...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 09-16-2006, 12:46 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 479
Posted By jai
Re: Omaha 8 article -- The Flaws

[ QUOTE ]
Hand 1: You have AAKK, and your opponent has A2QJ, and the board is KT98. So your opponent has the straight and you have a set and need to hit your full-house on the river to win, and...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 09-16-2006, 12:33 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 479
Posted By jai
Re: Omaha 8 article -- The Flaws

[ QUOTE ]
No getting quartered, no duplicated hands, yet the 10 scoop outs are worth six times as much as the 10 split outs.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you are trying to compare the EV of scoop outs to...
Forum: Two Plus Two Internet Magazine 09-15-2006, 08:59 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 479
Posted By jai
Re: Omaha 8 article -- The Flaws

The main point of Buzz's article—that a scoop out is better than 2 times a split out in terms of net winnings is irrefutable. But that is patently obvious to anyone who has spent more than 2 minutes...
Forum: Omaha/8 09-07-2006, 08:05 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 87
Posted By jai
Re: 15/30 LO8 - flopping the set

[ QUOTE ]
This may not be the right way to play these, especially the third one. I'm hoping some better players will chime in here too. We need tuco, scott y and cero but especially several posts...
Forum: High Stakes Limit 09-05-2006, 09:19 PM
Replies: 47
Views: 344
Posted By jai
Re: Attacking the running bad

schneids,

could you describe the situations you wouldn't raise on that flop and why?
Forum: Omaha/8 09-04-2006, 10:25 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

Alright Buzz, we are on the same page with regards to fresh money equity (which as I stated before is the same as pot equity, except you multiply it by the bets going in instead of dead money in the...
Forum: Omaha/8 09-03-2006, 12:12 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

[ QUOTE ]
However, aren’t you using “fresh money” considerations rather than “pot equity” to decide whose advantage it is to bet? Whatever you call it, you have provided an interesting, thought...
Forum: Omaha/8 09-01-2006, 04:22 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

luckyharr,

That is one disgusting example. Note that even with that murderer's row set of hands, the top set still has an equity advantage. There will often be scenarios where that top set does...
Forum: Omaha/8 09-01-2006, 04:58 AM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

[ QUOTE ]
Because of the size of the pot ($1000), you have favorable odds to call a $100 bet. However, you don’t have favorable odds to initiate fresh money into the pot yourself since you’re only...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-31-2006, 11:41 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

[ QUOTE ]
The further you are from showdown, the less helpful EV calcs are because the inherent assumptions aren't real.

[/ QUOTE ]

Sure. But given that you have an equity edge on any round...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-31-2006, 11:31 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

[ QUOTE ]
In a full loose game, you are going to lose here about two times out of every three. Honest. And when you win, six times out of eleven you'll only win the high half of the pot. Honest.
...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-31-2006, 11:12 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

[ QUOTE ]
Thus it seems to me as though the total amount in the pot multiplied by the probability you'll win the pot is your "pot equity."

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. But this includes all bets put in...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-31-2006, 05:32 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

[ QUOTE ]
Unless you think your set of kings is going to hold up, you're drawing yourself! By raising, you're making if more expensive for yourself when you lose!

[/ QUOTE ]

Buzz,

This is...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-31-2006, 05:22 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 853
Posted By jai
Re: The Top Set dilemma

Buzz,

I believe the correct way to use the equity calculators is as follows: let's say you have 25% equity in a pot. Your opponent bets $25 into a $50 pot. So after this betting round the pot...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-24-2006, 08:48 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 90
Posted By jai
Re: Playing out the blinds

LOL, Buzz, I must have sounded like an idiot in that original post. Of course I know that there are future betting rounds and that AA23 plays well from the BB.

You said: "In general, you don't...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-24-2006, 05:27 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 90
Posted By jai
Re: Playing out the blinds

[ QUOTE ]
That you're getting great odds to defend the big blind (or complete from the small blind) is generally an illusion. In general, you don't defend because you have favorable odds.

[/...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-23-2006, 06:03 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 112
Posted By jai
Re: Party PLO8 $100 - Standard Check/Fold of Nut-Low on the flop?

There is some merit, you can fold out high hands with non-nut lows. But you have to be careful with naked ace bluffs when lows are made because anyone with a made nut low and any kind of high hand...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-22-2006, 06:08 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 50
Posted By jai
Re: River bet?

Absent any particular reads, I would have potted the turn, you have a monster on this board and might be able to get better high hands to fold. As played, I pot the river.
Forum: Omaha/8 08-14-2006, 09:16 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 94
Posted By jai
Re: $25PLO8 - Pocket Aces, nut low draw with flush draw me no have

[ QUOTE ]
Isn't the better question: what hands are likely to checkraise me on that flop and how do I stand?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, the better question is how often will I win it uncontested by...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-14-2006, 04:48 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 191
Posted By jai
Re: Is there any game more misplayed than this one by the average play

The situation in question was three-handed which changes the equities drastically (given certain conditions).
Forum: Omaha/8 08-14-2006, 04:43 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 94
Posted By jai
Re: $25PLO8 - Pocket Aces, nut low draw with flush draw me no have

What hands have you in bad shape on this flop? What hands are you dominating on this flop? What fraction of your opponents' ranges do you think constitutes each of the above?

Who is more likely...
Forum: Omaha/8 08-11-2006, 07:21 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 83
Posted By jai
Re: Crazy Maniac.... long, low content

There is a player on the bigger Party games who consistently gets all-in preflop with hands like 2356ds or A367. He is also one of the biggest winners at the 600-2000 levels.

I suspect he does...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 57

 
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