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Search: Posts Made By: PhlegmWad
Forum: Poker Theory 10-15-2007, 08:37 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 77
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Advice For Staying Motivated

first thing i would say is that if indeed most of your losses are cash games, I would steer clear of them. Going on tilt from frustration can really cost you a ton in a cash game, whereas all you...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-15-2007, 05:00 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 56
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: closest hand to coinlip

Ive seen like 50.02% .. Ill have to work it out
Forum: Poker Theory 10-14-2007, 09:50 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 55
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Heads Up NL Shove-or-Fold Hypothetical Question

read the question ... its only theoretical so dont apply it to a tourney situation.. and I believe the answer is not as obvious as you think.

Also, in a SHOVE OR FOLD scenario, acting second is a...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-14-2007, 07:38 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
(.3 * 100) + (.7)(.33)(200) = $76
for making a $50 bet at a $100 pot with a 30% chance of winning by default (fold %) and a 70% chance that the hand will show down with me...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-14-2007, 07:17 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
In your calculations you use both value and fold equity when dealing with the same bet. A bet that has both value and fold equity is a 2-way bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would agree that there...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-14-2007, 07:02 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 71
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: I win more when I\'m on tilt

[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes when I'm near tilt, I experience some increased success. There is a period right before I start spraying money all over the place that I think I'm at my most dangerous. I think...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-14-2007, 06:01 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 55
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Heads Up NL Shove-or-Fold Hypothetical Question

Shove or fold. Stacks are equal. Blinds immaterial relative to stacks. Remember, the question is NOT "would you rather have JJ or a random hand?" ... the question is "which CHANGE would you rather...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 11:14 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 55
Posted By PhlegmWad
Heads Up NL Shove-or-Fold Hypothetical Question

Here's an interesting theoretical heads-up question: You are in the following NL game:

<u>Heads up, shove or fold.</u>

Okay, now, the question is which of the following 2 CHANGES would you...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 10:50 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 245
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: simple game theory question

wow that's a good question - Im not sure that it's possible to define that ... my best guess is that it's between 1 and 4!
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 10:47 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
I don't see how that makes it a 2-way bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

a) what's a 2-way bet?
b) how is this related to the initial question?
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 08:26 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
With certain conditions you might be able to make a 2-way bet (this is a bet where you may get called by a worse hand and may fold out a better hand), but this virtually never happens on...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 05:25 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
There won't be a villain where you can consider FE when value betting and value from worse hands when bluffing..

[/ QUOTE ]

Either we are saying the same thing 2 different ways, or...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 05:07 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
Theoretically, a $50 river bet into a $100 pot would need at least 50% equity outlined above, right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, if you were CALLING $50 to win $100, you are correct, you...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 04:04 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
You need to factor in that your mediocre hand will sometimes win if you check. Saying "if I bet $X and he fold Y% of the time, I profit, therefore I should bet" is correct only when your...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 03:48 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
Pot equity is not the main point. As PhlegmWad said, you have to think about the chance of being called by a hand that you can beat. You also have to know what you will do to an all-in...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 02:56 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

[ QUOTE ]
That's good that you think about stuff like this. One of the best ways I've improved is breaking down even the simplest concepts.

However, fold equity has nothing to do with deciding...
Forum: Poker Theory 10-13-2007, 11:54 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 159
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Equity and value betting

Ummm.. I'll take a stab.... I think the basic thought here would be to answer this question: Given by read on the vil and his range, how likely am I to get called by a hand that I can beat? Taken...
Forum: Televised Poker 10-12-2007, 12:33 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 217
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: WSOP Main Event - Your thoughts on the format?

interesting.

of course, along with No F bomb, they should have no J bomb
Forum: Televised Poker 10-12-2007, 09:15 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 217
Posted By PhlegmWad
WSOP Main Event - Your thoughts on the format?

If you had the chance to make one change in the Main Event format, what would it be? Interesting question. Be interested in hearing.

My impression as a SPECTATOR, having watched the entire final...
Forum: Televised Poker 10-11-2007, 10:45 PM
Replies: 473
Views: 3,258
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: WSOP on ESPN thread (10/9 - ME Final Table)

Can Pat Robertson and Billy Graham as guest commentators on the PPV broadcast be far behind??
Forum: Televised Poker 10-11-2007, 10:17 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 256
Posted By PhlegmWad
2008 Broadcast Announced - likeable/least

As a result of the feedback on this years final table, is there any truth to the rumor that next years PPV broadcast will feature Phil Gordon doing poker commentary, and Pat Robertson and Billy...
Forum: Televised Poker 10-10-2007, 09:40 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 256
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Poll: Most / Least like-able players at the WSOP FT

You obviously know little. The hand with the JJ he got a better hand to lay down..last time I checkedI, thats called "outplaying" your opponent....he didn't make his call too fast with Hilm, it was...
Forum: Televised Poker 10-10-2007, 08:35 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 61
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Follow Up to Main Event PPV - hole cards

well, at least maybe put out a document with the hole cards so that those who watch the PPV can go back and maybe watch it again.... the broadcast is already over, what would it hurt? They have the...
Forum: Televised Poker 10-10-2007, 05:30 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 256
Posted By PhlegmWad
Re: Poll: Most / Least like-able players at the WSOP FT

I agree with your assessment of Yangs strategy. I too watched the PPV and basically, my take was that he came out aggressive while everyone else was tight. Kept everyone off guard and off balance...
Forum: Televised Poker 10-10-2007, 05:11 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 81
Posted By PhlegmWad
ESPN EDITING

Interesting to compare the PPV to the live broadcast for edits.... not only are they editing which hands, but the INTRA-HAND editing ...

Take the Childs-Yang hand with QQ vs. JJ. I clocked it on...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 28

 
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