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Search: Posts Made By: ncray
Forum: Health and Fitness 11-30-2007, 01:03 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 1,146
Posted By ncray
Re: 40 Year Old Vs 65 Year Old American Hitting 90

[ QUOTE ]

Clearly this boils down to one thing:
Probability of dying between the ages of 40 and 65 versus the medical advancements made in 25 years.


[/ QUOTE ]

I think cohort effects are...
Forum: Other Other Topics 11-26-2007, 01:39 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 1,270
Posted By ncray
Re: Dexter 11/25

Amazing ep. Can't wait for next week's.
Forum: Video Games 11-24-2007, 02:17 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 288
Posted By ncray
Re: so what\'s next for games on the 360

I guess UT3, but I would much rather play it on PC.
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-24-2007, 02:08 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 113
Posted By ncray
Re: Wiener Process

If W(0) = 0, then W(1) = X_1, where X_1 ~ N(0,1), and W(t) = X_1 + ... + X_t where X_i ~ N(0,1). The sum of t iid normal RVs is normal with mean 0 and variance t, so W(t) ~ N(0,t) which is the same...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-23-2007, 12:44 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 203
Posted By ncray
Re: Simple storage problem (math)

For the first 5 bits of the disc, map the integers to whether they are prime or not

integers: 1 2 3 4 5
is prime? 0 1 1 0 1

After that, you kill all multiples of 2, 3, and 5
1/2 of all...
Forum: Student Life 11-21-2007, 03:00 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 123
Posted By ncray
Re: Microeconomics Question

Yeah, tabako's right. Maybe to be a little bit more clear,
d^2e / (dp_i*dp_j) = d/dp_i * de/dp_j = d/dp_i * h*_j = dh*_j / dp_i
And since d^2e / (dp_i*dp_j) = d^2e / (dp_j*dp_i) = d/dp_j *...
Forum: Other Other Topics 11-20-2007, 07:09 PM
Replies: 123
Views: 1,613
Posted By ncray
Re: Heroes 11/19-Things are starting to get good. Wait,what?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
how do you give a blood transfusion to a non-functioning heart?


[/ QUOTE ]

Her blood causes damaged cells to repair, dead cells are damaged in a way.
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 11-06-2007, 01:09 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 85
Posted By ncray
Re: aerodynamics question

You should rewrite the question. It's a mess. In fact, I don't even see a question there.
Forum: Probability 11-01-2007, 04:26 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 290
Posted By ncray
Re: A tough variance problem (at least for me)

I just ran some simulations, but they were a 5 minute hack job, so let me know if you spot any mistakes. Still, I hope they shed some light on the problem.
#Let's just say you win a $3.22 with...
Forum: Probability 11-01-2007, 01:24 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 290
Posted By ncray
Re: A tough variance problem (at least for me)

[ QUOTE ]

I am no guru in statistics, but I think you can multiply your std by the swing hand amount to get std of profit for the amount of hands you are talking about.


[/ QUOTE ]
It's the...
Forum: Probability 09-21-2007, 08:50 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 206
Posted By ncray
Re: Hole in one odds from Yahoo news story

Here's another possibility. They have a distribution for golfers' ace abilities. For example, take 4 golfers, A-D. For simplicity, assume that they golf in the order A, B, C, D. Take A's ace...
Forum: Probability 09-21-2007, 02:42 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 206
Posted By ncray
Re: Hole in one odds from Yahoo news story

5000:1 means 1/5001. Assuming independence gives (1/5001)^2 * (5000/5001)^2 * 3 = 25000000/208500050006667 = 1.19904x10^-7
17mil:1 = 5.88235x10^-8
Edit: there's no stipulation that the other 2...
Forum: Probability 09-19-2007, 12:47 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 91
Posted By ncray
Re: Can sum1 who doesn\'t suck at math tell me if I\'m doin it rite?

[ QUOTE ]

Should the K or Q on board change the probability of your opponents hole cards?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. What happens if there are 4Ks on board? The probability of your opponent holding a...
Forum: Probability 09-17-2007, 06:16 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 91
Posted By ncray
Re: Can sum1 who doesn\'t suck at math tell me if I\'m doin it rite?

6 known cards, so 46 to choose from
6C1*40C1/46C2 contain a single K or Q = 23.18%
6C2/46C2 contain KK, QQ, or KQ = 1.44%
Forum: Probability 09-12-2007, 01:48 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 139
Posted By ncray
Re: Test Strategy/Argument

Let's just say that having absolutely no idea is the same as randomly guessing (pick each of the 5 answers with probability 1/5). So, by randomly guessing your expected score is going to be 0. Why...
Forum: Probability 08-22-2007, 02:11 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 130
Posted By ncray
Re: Chances of only ever getting 72o

Okay, consider this. We can only get 72o if we get 7 and 2 not of the same suit. There are 4 7s and 4 2s and 4 combos where they are of the same suit, so there are 12*2(12 is just 7 and 2, there...
Forum: Probability 08-22-2007, 02:03 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 130
Posted By ncray
Re: Chances of only ever getting 72o

[ QUOTE ]
So, thinking about it it is possible that your lifetime, you only ever get delt 72o.

But if you got a person to sit down and reshuffle and redeal, youd never (literally never? no, just...
Forum: Student Life 08-16-2007, 05:36 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 213
Posted By ncray
Re: I need to go back to school and get a Master\'s. Possibly in Finan

I'd imagine that you are going to need to take a lot of prereqs given that you have a degree in bio and not math. Some kind of rigorous probability class that introduces you to measure theory, real...
Forum: Probability 08-15-2007, 10:15 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 85
Posted By ncray
Re: Probability question

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What would be the expected number of places up or down in the draft order for a team to move given random drawings (can one even determine this)?

[/ QUOTE ]

In...
Forum: Probability 08-15-2007, 03:15 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 85
Posted By ncray
Re: Probability question

12c5 * 7!/12! double counts some combos, but the answer is probably pretty close. I think you probably need some sort of inclusion exclusion.
Suppose the 5 chosen were 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6-10 ended...
Forum: Internet Gambling 07-30-2007, 10:47 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 302
Posted By ncray
Re: Neteller funds are now available

101k via EFT. Ship it!
Forum: Health and Fitness 07-21-2007, 01:13 PM
Replies: 193
Views: 3,460
Posted By ncray
Re: SmileyEH\'s Log

[ QUOTE ]
Eff the haters. Dip and rip.

[/ QUOTE ]

What the [censored] does that even mean?
Forum: Probability 07-21-2007, 02:50 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 151
Posted By ncray
Re: Any math wizards out there?

Of course it changed the odds. The most noticeable differences would be that it's much more likely to get a set of kings and possible to get even 5 or 6 of a kind with kings. Since there are now...
Forum: BBV4Life 07-21-2007, 02:26 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 72
Posted By ncray
Beat: Obesity

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=070720210958.nxif5zgw&show_article=1&image=large
Forum: Health and Fitness 07-21-2007, 01:33 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 323
Posted By ncray
Re: back sore, slighly achy after deadlifting

I just did deads earlier today and my back just feels fatigued. I'm pretty anal about form and I've never experienced any pain either during the exercise or rest.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 206

 
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