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Forum: Small Stakes 10-04-2007, 08:38 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 94
Posted By ebalf
Re: Tough spot with KK

[ QUOTE ]
he actually didnt have QQ, I will give anyone 10$ if they guess what he had

[/ QUOTE ]
I think it's time to post the solution - what did he have?
Forum: Small Stakes 09-28-2007, 07:24 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 39
Posted By ebalf
Re: C/r on the river - icky spot?

Any infos on villain besides his stats?
Reads? Tricky player or straightforward?
How many hands for his stats?

Without those infos:
He doesn't seem to be afraid of a flush since he's re-raising...
Forum: Small Stakes 09-28-2007, 04:27 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 119
Posted By ebalf
Re: $100NL: 2.5 buyins deepstacked with a kill yourself decision

???
Is there any other option than calling given the pot size and the bet?
He's got nothing to lose by betting out but creates some FE.

He could have had a smaller set, two pair, overpair, OESD,...
Forum: Small Stakes 09-28-2007, 04:22 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 94
Posted By ebalf
Forum: Small Stakes 09-28-2007, 03:03 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 94
Posted By ebalf
Re: Tough spot with KK

Yeah, looks like a tought spot.
Assuming all 3 hold a PP (one maybe AA, but unlikely) and each PP is roughly 7.5:1 to flop a set you'll see a set almost half of the time.
137 in the pot, you've got...
Forum: Small Stakes 09-23-2007, 03:25 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 28
Posted By ebalf
TT overpair facing turn-allin on dangerous flop

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format:...
Forum: Small Stakes 09-10-2007, 07:09 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 94
Posted By ebalf
Re: NFD+Gutshot too aggro ?

Your RRAI won't push him off the hand since he's got only a small amount to call.
So basically it's about showdown percentages.
His reraise tells me he's got a made hand or a very strong draw....
Forum: Micro Stakes 08-27-2007, 08:00 AM
Replies: 42
Views: 311
Posted By ebalf
Re: PNL Study Group Day 2: Stack Sizes

SB: $61.30
Hero (BB): $68.85
UTG: $16.50
MP: $53.55
CO: $41.95
BTN: $20.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif (6 Players)
3 folds, <font...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-21-2007, 08:17 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 29
Posted By ebalf
Re: KK on scary board against 2 donks.

A retard? Not sure about this. 61 hands with only 4 players at the table.

But yes, I didn't look at his stats. You could be right.
My fault. Odds are ok vs. a loose player.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-21-2007, 07:44 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 29
Posted By ebalf
Re: KK on scary board against 2 donks.

I don't really get the minraise by the CO.
Original raiser is still behind. If he's really got a hand why not call, wait for the initial raiser to raise the flop-bet, get a call from the BB and so...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-20-2007, 10:47 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 243
Posted By ebalf
Re: KK what do you do on river?

I'd simply check.
He bet both the flop and the turn into the original aggressor.
Looks like he has already a hand here. Most likely PP. Maybe set which turned into a boat on the river.
If he's got...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-20-2007, 10:35 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 31
Posted By ebalf
Re: Getting max value out of KK

if he folds to your river-bet I think he would fold even more to your turn-minraise.
River bet looks weaker than turn-minraise IMHO.

I think you got the best you could get.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-20-2007, 10:30 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 56
Posted By ebalf
Re: blind defense chapter 1

[ QUOTE ]
If I fold every blind i am making - 2,25 PTBB/100 Hands. That's not the right way eighter.

[/ QUOTE ]
It's not in the blinds where you are supposed to make the most money. It's only...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-20-2007, 10:21 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 31
Posted By ebalf
Re: Raising Button limper with Q9s

BB is still in.
I doubt it's a good idea.
If BB calls or raises then you're OOP with probably a worse hand.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-09-2007, 10:51 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 50
Posted By ebalf
Re: Shoving over a donkbet in a 3bet pot

I think your big raise is bad.
SB cold-called a preflop-RAISE with the initial bettor still behind him.
That means he isn't really afraid of a re-raise.
Forget anything less than AK or pocket...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-09-2007, 09:03 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 68
Posted By ebalf
Re: This is always a set right?

A set would be my first idea, too.
If SB is somewhat loose, then maybe 78s or T9s.

AK and KQ are unlikely since you hold KK.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-09-2007, 06:49 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 79
Posted By ebalf
Re: $100 - Do I make the hero call?

fold IMHO.
That's a BIG bet.
Seems to me like he wants it to look like a bluff and wants you to call.
Probably a set.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-08-2007, 10:25 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 68
Posted By ebalf
Re: 100NL: Flopped nutflushdraw in RRP

the odds for drawing alone should make a call profitable.
you raised him preflop and showed weakness on the flop.

Maybe he tries to push you off the hand.
I guess I'd push. No need to fold.
Forum: Small Stakes 08-08-2007, 10:07 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 151
Posted By ebalf
Re: 100NL: Turned Set on 4straight board

to make a straight he'd have to hold KQ or 9x, maybe 99
would he call your big preflop-bet OOP?
KQ: maybe
99: yes
9x: don't think so, not even with 98s or A9s

So let's assume he's holding KQ...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-08-2007, 09:17 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 172
Posted By ebalf
Re: 200nl is this a call?

He's laying odds of 1:1.75, right?
What has he got?
set (likely)
nut flush draw (likely) (=at least one overcard)
two pair (unlikely)

He can't have top pair + flush draw like you.
Maybe...
Forum: Small Stakes 08-08-2007, 08:12 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 178
Posted By ebalf
Re: 200NL - Two pair gets 3bet on the turn, standard fold or weak?

Even if I may look like a calling station - I'd maybe call that bet and rather prefer to go all-in (after all he has to be afraid of you holding a set or straight).
Possible hands that would be...
Forum: Medium Stakes 07-30-2007, 07:02 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 120
Posted By ebalf
Re: QQ facing overbet shove, 7.5/15 deep

set? when villain got top set and puts hero on a flush draw or a lower set.
or when villain got middle set or bottom set and puts hero on flush draw
Forum: Medium Stakes 07-30-2007, 06:41 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 120
Posted By ebalf
Re: QQ facing overbet shove, 7.5/15 deep

IMHO either a set or nut-draw.
Given the possibility of a set and bad odds for an improvement I say that's a fold.
Forum: Medium Stakes 07-26-2007, 04:53 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 61
Posted By ebalf
Forum: Medium Stakes 07-26-2007, 04:47 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 66
Posted By ebalf
Re: 2/4 in BB AQ facing a raise, deep!

IMO:
anything less than an Ace would've folded on the turn, so you're up against *at least* a good ace. AQ or AK.
maybe 88 or 55.

Too many hands that beat you, only one split.
I'd fold.
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