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Forum: High Stakes 11-28-2007, 12:22 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 28
Posted By AragornX151
Re: Live NYC 50/100 Trips

I think flop is a fold, given depth of stacks, poor texture of flop, and awful relative position sandwiched between bettor and another active player. That was a perfect turn, but most are gonna make...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 11-16-2007, 01:23 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 13
Posted By AragornX151
Re: 20/40 I\'m a Payoff Machine

The SB's range seems to me to mostly consist of hands that whoop your a$$. I think this is an easy river fold.

In general, I don't give an unknown credit for check-raising the flop with the...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-31-2007, 09:10 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 10
Posted By AragornX151
Re: I fold pairs a lot

[ QUOTE ]
So everyone here would fold to this c/r with, say, KJ? /images/graemlins/confused.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

Definitely not folding a good 2 pair here. I agree with Andy; anything that beats...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-31-2007, 09:05 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 11
Posted By AragornX151
Re: FW 20 I Donk(Hand Against Myself)

[ QUOTE ]
Fold the flop but please don't fold preflop. PJ you nitbox.

-DeathDonkey

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, I was just saying that if you call preflop, you HAVE to be able to easily toss AT on...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-31-2007, 09:01 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 6
Posted By AragornX151
Re: FW 20 I Raise(Hand Against Myself)

[ QUOTE ]
3-bet preflop, 3-bet turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

What he said. Also, lead the flop. You don't want to confront everyone with two cold with such a strong hand. Hope to get a few calls, a CO...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-31-2007, 08:59 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 11
Posted By AragornX151
Re: FW 20 I Donk(Hand Against Myself)

If you're struggling folding on this flop with two players to act, I agree with PJ; just muck them pre. As played, fold the flop, and it's not that close IMO.
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-21-2007, 10:37 PM
Replies: 118
Views: 45
Posted By AragornX151
Re: QQ from upfront early in Warmup...Is this ok?

What do people do with TT/JJ here if they're considering mucking QQ to the rr? How about AK?
Forum: High Stakes 10-21-2007, 09:08 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 9
Posted By AragornX151
Re: 10/20 Live Bellagio River Full House

His line screams 77 or 22, and he's mathematically much more likely to have deuces full after that river, which is actually a good card for you unless you think K7s is in his range. Snap call.
Forum: High Stakes Limit 10-19-2007, 06:24 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: NateThaGreat

I haven't clicked the link but it just clicked...he's from Baseball Prospectus? That's pretty sick. That stuff is wildly in-depth.
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-17-2007, 09:11 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: middle pair to second pair to crappy flush

Yeah, why did you call the turn raise? Villain raised multiple players; he's not kidding. Get out of his way on the turn.

As played, I'd fold the river; his "not wanting you to call" look, even...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 07:35 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 07:02 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: 25/50 Hollywood Park, semi-bluff multi-way in small pot

He normally won't fold, but he will enough getting 6:1. These types actually WILL lay down TJ or something sometimes because they assume you wouldn't have raised the turn without a made hand, and...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 06:37 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: 25/50 Hollywood Park, semi-bluff multi-way in small pot

At this point, you definitely have to bet again, he could easily also have a J or some such hand and fold. He'll definitely fold enough here to make it worth betting. Agree with the majority that...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 01:53 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: Canterbury 30 hand

bakku, I get your drift and you're probably right that you're unlikely to be behind pokerbob (but certainly not impossible). Still, on that board, it seems like a stretch to think that you're...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 01:43 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 10
Posted By AragornX151
Re: JJ 6 handed

Even so, given your description, it's not a typical casino 20-40 crowd. I still think there's plenty of merit to getting the hell out of the way given this action.
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 01:30 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: Canterbury 30 hand

I think the turn is a bit overplayed; I wouldn't usually 4-bet into three people when a straight and flush are both possible. You really need a read for that to be correct, though it's not costing...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 01:25 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 10
Posted By AragornX151
Re: JJ 6 handed

This is just a cooler of a hand, period. There's so much strength being shown that I think it's defensible to just get out of the way on the flop. The fact that it's 6-handed makes it much tougher...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-16-2007, 11:14 AM
Replies: 63
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: Fun w/ TT

C/F the turn. What are you ahead of? You're also not going to bully two people off their hands here.

Also, fold preflop. You're OOP with a very tough hand to play postflop that's often behind...
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-13-2007, 11:11 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: Maybe Simple Preflop Spot

You have a great chance to get some chips. Take it. UTG raising to 350 makes it less likely he has QQ+ anyway.
Forum: High Stakes MTT 10-13-2007, 10:41 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: QQ in 2nd position in level 1

This is an awesome flop to check. You're way ahead or way behind, and best of all, a Q may let you stack AK. Can't imagine any rationale for betting against a preflop reraiser here.
Forum: Medium Stakes 10-07-2007, 04:14 PM
Replies: 72
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: 2nd nuts 350BB deep vs nit

Against a nit, what's the point of 3-betting this river? Is a 15/7 really calling with worse?
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-07-2007, 12:20 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: We\'re Playing a Gambling Game

I think you have to bet the turn. Too many hands that are behind call you here to make checking correct.

I'd fold to a check-raise. As for the river, I usually value bet it unless I have a...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-06-2007, 11:59 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 12
Posted By AragornX151
Re: Big Pot River Decision

Kevin,

The turn is very close, and I could definitely be convinced. I would certainly 3-bet it in certain circumstances.

Getting 20-1, I can't see calling being anything worse than a small...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-06-2007, 11:21 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 12
Posted By AragornX151
Re: Big Pot River Decision

I really dislike this hand from start to finish. Fold preflop. If there were a bunch of cold callers for 3 cold, OK, but two opponents isn't enough to play 22. On the flop, start applying the gas....
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 10-06-2007, 10:33 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 4
Posted By AragornX151
Re: $40/$80 borgata AA

Bakku is obviously right; the bet is primarily for value. But it has the added merit of potentially inducing a bluff raise. Checking causes you to lose value from many hands that would call if you...
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