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Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 07:46 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 264
Posted By Ortho
Re: Newb question re halftime middles

The books are, of course, aware of this, and so the line on the hedgeable side will often be inflated. In your example, (I'm making this up) the correct 2d half line might be Miami -3 but the books...
Forum: Internet Bonuses 10-31-2007, 07:27 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 285
Posted By Ortho
Re: Goldenpalacecasino reload (only today 31.10)

Thanks.
Forum: Internet Bonuses 10-31-2007, 05:05 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 285
Posted By Ortho
Re: Goldenpalacecasino reload (only today 31.10)

Has anyone had more than one cashout from here? Do they make you send in documents the second time you cashout? I did the signup bonus long ago and sent documents but wonder if I will have to send...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-14-2007, 04:53 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 79
Posted By Ortho
Re: I want to bet PGA matchups next spring.

Elliots Golf Form (http://www.keithelliott.co.uk/egf.shtml) is the gold standard over here, and is really useful.
Forum: Internet Bonuses 08-17-2007, 05:40 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 264
Posted By Ortho
Re: Empire Reload

Does any raked hand count? And is the bonus page that tells you how many hands you have to go not updating?
Forum: Micro Stakes 08-14-2007, 06:32 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 34
Posted By Ortho
25NL: Overpair on flop v fish.

Villain is 50/15/2. We've played a bunch of hands that go: I raise from button, he calls from BB. I cbet flop, he sometimes folds, sometimes calls, sometimes calls turn, folds river. Given that,...
Forum: Micro Stakes 08-14-2007, 05:30 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 280
Posted By Ortho
NL25: Overpair on horrible board v FPS TAG.

Villain is like 25/12/3 and likes everyone to know how clever he is. This can obviously be a wide range of things, but my lonely overpair doesn't have very good implied odds. I feel that I...
Forum: Micro Stakes 08-14-2007, 05:01 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 41
Posted By Ortho
Re: NL 25: Very basic, just learning. Do something else with my AK p

If I'm going to call, should I consider just calling the first time instead of 3-betting (I understand I want button out of the hand here, but what if button weren't in the hand?)?

At the time, my...
Forum: Micro Stakes 08-14-2007, 04:29 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 41
Posted By Ortho
NL 25: Very basic, just learning. Do something else with my AK pre?

Villain is like a 21/20 multitabler. Should I just call here and see the flop?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker...
Forum: Micro Stakes 08-02-2007, 05:22 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 49
Posted By Ortho
Re: NL25: New to MSNL, Would Like Feedback on Some Hands

Thanks very much for the replies-they were quite helpful.
Forum: Micro Stakes 08-02-2007, 10:24 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 49
Posted By Ortho
NL25: New to MSNL, Would Like Feedback on Some Hands

Hi. I haven't played poker in a very long time, and started back with a very short, like 30 hand session at NL25 last night. I haven't played in so long that I was questioning decisions that felt...
Forum: Micro Stakes 07-04-2007, 03:45 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 188
Posted By Ortho
Re: Spot I find myself in often

Does that this is an obvious fold not make it +EV for villain to C/R here with anything? This thought always vexes me in this spot.

Or, to be more clear about it, does that fact that OP will have...
Forum: Beginners Questions 07-03-2007, 03:17 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 93
Posted By Ortho
Microlimits NL: Where to start?

Hi,

I'm not sure if this belongs in Micro NL or here, but that forum seems more tightly moderated.

I played Limit 2/4 and $22 Sngs for about a year before I got into sports betting. I have...
Forum: Internet Bonuses 06-05-2007, 06:52 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 82
Posted By Ortho
Re: Casino whores avoid VCCasino

This sounds more like disorganisation and/or technical problems on their side than them blocking your account. I have had problems just like this with vc before, but they have turned out to be...
Forum: Sports Betting 04-27-2007, 02:23 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 169
Posted By Ortho
Re: When are lines most efficient?

[ QUOTE ]
His data sets are in his article. I don't feel obligated to state a case for him. They're Ph.D.s in financial econometrics. Sports betting is a financial market. They're trained in...
Forum: Sports Betting 04-19-2007, 05:35 PM
Replies: 198
Views: 888
Posted By Ortho
Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i bet crockpot hasn't posted here yet b/c he threw his cpu on the ground and killed it

[/ QUOTE ]I don't blame him if he did

[/ QUOTE ]

cpu intact. trying...
Forum: Sports Betting 04-19-2007, 01:05 PM
Replies: 198
Views: 888
Posted By Ortho
Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Not to hijack, but why are there so many day games today? Is it a holiday in America?

[/ QUOTE ]

thursday is a common day for day games, because it's usually the last...
Forum: Sports Betting 04-19-2007, 11:10 AM
Replies: 198
Views: 888
Posted By Ortho
Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

Not to hijack, but why are there so many day games today? Is it a holiday in America?
Forum: Sports Betting 04-14-2007, 05:31 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 89
Posted By Ortho
Re: What kind of sport is less luck involved?

Pinnacle often has chess lines. Lots of books have WSOP bets in June/July.
Forum: Sports Betting 04-11-2007, 01:02 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 256
Posted By Ortho
Re: Early EPL Info

I am an Arsenal fan and follow them reasonably closely. I totally disagree here. Arsenal have given up on the season. They are nearly comatose and while they will come out of it to save 4th place,...
Forum: Sports Betting 04-06-2007, 08:50 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 109
Posted By Ortho
Re: Fading the Tiger

Sorry, I see that that's obvious from the thread title, which I didn't notice once I was in it. I would've written:

Vijay (+190) v Tiger 2u, as it's obvious what you're on. But you're right, it...
Forum: Sports Betting 04-06-2007, 07:29 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 109
Posted By Ortho
Re: Fading the Tiger

[ QUOTE ]
Adding 2nd round matchup:

Vijay Singh v. Tiger (+190) 2u

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you mean Tiger -190?
Forum: Sports Betting 04-05-2007, 05:36 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 308
Posted By Ortho
Re: Nickle system in April

The -EV of hedging is greater than the -EV of holding a bad bet. If your bet is -EV, you will lose money either way, but you will lose less if you just let the bet ride.

Assume that you held...
Forum: Sports Betting 04-05-2007, 07:48 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 153
Posted By Ortho
Re: Masters props

Yes, sorry. I'm wrong and I don't know the answer to your question. I guess that you have to wait until Pinnacle puts it into the lower menu.
Forum: Sports Betting 04-05-2007, 07:41 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 153
Posted By Ortho
Re: Masters props

After I click parlay, I get a bunch of pulldowns.

Click on "golf" and pull down to US Masters.
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