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Search: Posts Made By: svj
Forum: Sports Betting 11-19-2007, 01:24 AM
Replies: 81
Views: 413
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

Analysis of my analysis....

[ QUOTE ]
Bisping +246 .25u to win .61u
Bisping wins by 3 round decision: +609 .25u to win 1.52u

[/ QUOTE ]Bisping nearly pulled it off. Fight was much closer...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-17-2007, 07:30 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 413
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

Svj plays: (fight specific bets are from 5dimes)

Bisping +246 .25u to win .61u
Bisping wins by 3 round decision: +609 .25u to win 1.52u

Alexander -166 1.66u to win 1u

Edgar -121 1.5u...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-17-2007, 01:01 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 413
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

Hey cheers, man!

Might be able to find some actual value on Gono yet! LOL
Forum: Sports Betting 11-17-2007, 02:43 AM
Replies: 81
Views: 413
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

BTW... there's been a lot of action against Gono... anyone know what gives?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-17-2007, 02:42 AM
Replies: 81
Views: 413
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

21times20: Why is it that I had no idea what your username meant, but now that I've sparked one, it came to me in a heartbeat? LOL

Quick in-n-out post here...

Chonan is dropping a weight...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-15-2007, 01:31 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 413
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

Mikey: Thanks for the heads-up, playa!

Haven't gone through the film yet... (Don't usually get around to that until after the weigh-ins)

but my initial impressions are:

Bisping (reduced)...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-13-2007, 09:18 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 413
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79

Guess I'm the only one that thinks there's value on Bisping.

I think if he and Hamill fought again Saturday, it would be a 50/50 fight. Bisping was made painfully aware that he would need to...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-20-2007, 05:53 PM
Replies: 62
Views: 334
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 77 Discussion thread

Obviously no time for a long winded writeup, but for what it's worth...

Silva NO PLAY Line is good. Franklin's hand is healed, he knows to avoid the clinch, judges will award him close rounds....
Forum: Sports Betting 10-12-2007, 06:13 PM
Replies: 62
Views: 334
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 77 Discussion thread

[ QUOTE ]
i think you may have just uttered the single most ridiculously inaccurate piece of handicapping in the entire history of 2+2's sports betting forum

[/ QUOTE ]Oooo... I love fan mail. ...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-12-2007, 02:14 AM
Replies: 62
Views: 334
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 77 Discussion thread

Mikey: Hey man, what's shakin?

I gotta disagree on who the front office wants to win.
Absolutely, Silva puts on exciting fights. He's one of my favorite fighters, in fact. (The skinny guy can...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-12-2007, 02:00 AM
Replies: 62
Views: 334
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 77 Discussion thread

My God... just found out now. The HW division's really screwed now.

The thought of Timmah being champ again made me throw up a little in my mouth.

Ouch. The guys in UFC marketing are SOOOO...
Forum: Sports Betting 10-08-2007, 02:26 PM
Replies: 62
Views: 334
Posted By svj
UFC 77 Discussion thread

Here's my reasoning...

All we know from the first fight is that Silva is better in the clinch. That's *all* we know. The fight was too short to figure out anything else.

Franklin knows to stay...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-23-2007, 04:43 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 106
Posted By svj
Re: Oscar De La Hoya Prop

That ain't Oscar.
Forum: Sports Betting 09-23-2007, 04:40 AM
Replies: 145
Views: 920
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 76

[ QUOTE ]
Normally, I would say that two strikers can't really have more than a 75% chance of a win

[/ QUOTE ]

I think that about covers it.



[ QUOTE ]
Forum: Sports Betting 09-22-2007, 02:43 PM
Replies: 145
Views: 920
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 76

Couture's picks are in:

Liddell - Shocking, I know
Griffin - Claims Griffin will win all 3 rounds. Doesn't mention KO.. Since he's on the same team, I think that pretty much confirms Forrest's...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-21-2007, 07:00 PM
Replies: 145
Views: 920
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 76

Sylvia a dog to Vera??

Sweeeeet!
Forum: Sports Betting 09-20-2007, 12:07 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 198
Posted By svj
Re: Ultimate Fight Night Wednesday

Well, there you have it.

Perfect examples of why you build "[censored] happens" percentages into your handicapping.
Forum: Sports Betting 09-19-2007, 04:08 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 198
Posted By svj
Re: Ultimate Fight Night Wednesday

Badbeat:

Thanks, man. Due to that post, I went and searched through my archives, and found another Hironaka fight where he steamrolled Forrest Petz. Took him down at will, he's got great judo. ...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-18-2007, 04:39 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 198
Posted By svj
Ultimate Fight Night Wednesday

1001 Kenny Florian -152
1002 Din Thomas +142

1005 Terry Martin -181
1006 Chris Leben +171

1011 Pete Sell +201
1012 Nate Quarry -221

1007 Thiago Alves -201
Forum: Sports Betting 09-17-2007, 11:01 PM
Replies: 145
Views: 920
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 76

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not really excited about this fight, though, especially compared to the rest of the card.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hear dat, playa.
Forum: Sports Betting 09-17-2007, 10:18 PM
Replies: 145
Views: 920
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 76

It's similar that none of the 3 fighters are interested in takedowns or ground game, and Liddell is much better at controlling the distance and the fight than Forrest.

Perhaps you bring up a valid...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-17-2007, 07:28 PM
Replies: 145
Views: 920
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 76

Mikey:

Jardine's style vs. Forrest was to stand fully outside of range, and take a couple of hops forward to come inside for a strike. As Chuck's demonstrated time and again, that's a great way...
Forum: STT Strategy 09-15-2007, 05:09 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 59
Posted By svj
Re: PS 6.50 - Folding JJ as overpair L3

If it was A10 or K10, would he really be waiting to check-raise?

I don't know dick, but don't this kind of smell like Fancy Play Syndrome AA or KK?



Insert usual vanity website here:...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-15-2007, 04:36 PM
Replies: 145
Views: 920
Posted By svj
Re: UFC 76

Normally, I would say that two strikers can't really have more than a 75% chance of a win on one guy, due to factors like slips, lucky punches, etc. Like what Jardine did to Forrest, Serra to GSP,...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-14-2007, 06:43 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 21
Posted By svj
$25 NL weak straight vs.... ?

25 NL, first hand at the table. Everyone of note has me covered. About 6:30 EST. (I've noticed players are generally a lot tighter in the morning.)

Hero has 84o on BB.

CO limps.
SB...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 93

 
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