Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Search Forums

Showing results 1 to 25 of 375
Search took 0.02 seconds.
Search: Posts Made By: hedgie43
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 01:06 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 144
Posted By hedgie43
Re: the proof is in the pudding

LOL at Pats-Colts. You said you were on the ML, not the points.
Forum: Sports Betting 12-01-2007, 12:13 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 54
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Likely dumb vig question

Thremp,

If the line is efficient, how would you find the true line at higher prices then?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 02:07 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 20
Posted By hedgie43
Re: John Morrison

What percentage, on what lines and over how many bets?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-30-2007, 01:46 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 15
Posted By hedgie43
Re: presidential election

Bodog has RP at +250 to win the Dem nomination. LOL. Wish they offered a no like 5 Dimes does. The no line on RP there is -1700 which is good value as I see the fair line here at -10000 max. However,...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 01:44 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 28
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Help me understand this weird line

Try going up to ten people who you would consider squares and ask if they would rather have GB +7 or GB +265.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 01:37 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 28
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Help me understand this weird line

Don't forget that when the public is on an underdog it prefers taking the ML over the points.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-28-2007, 01:11 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 36
Posted By hedgie43
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 05:16 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 38
Posted By hedgie43
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 04:45 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 38
Posted By hedgie43
Re: hows this for a teaser?

So you're accurately predicting line movements 100% of the time?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 03:50 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 27
Posted By hedgie43
Re: is there value in teasing +5.5/6.5 teams 6pts?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/18502-estimated-nfl-ats-over-under-push-frequencies.html
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 03:49 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 38
Posted By hedgie43
Re: hows this for a teaser?

And you have a winning record on these teasers over a meaningful sample size?
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 03:16 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 38
Posted By hedgie43
Re: hows this for a teaser?

[ QUOTE ]

Teasing across the zero with Philly looks like donkey stuff but is ok if you capture the entire 3 on the other side, which you have. Bears and Browns to 7.5 (thru the 3 and 7) looks good...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 02:18 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 27
Posted By hedgie43
Re: is there value in teasing +5.5/6.5 teams 6pts?

Assuming we are talking about the NFL here, the 11 is a fairly uncommon number and gaining the 6 is much better, though still not +EV.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-27-2007, 01:31 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 46
Posted By hedgie43
Re: NCAAF Early Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]

Wash is pretty god awful wo Locker

[/ QUOTE ]

They've played one full game without him, which they won against Cal as 7 pt dogs.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 07:14 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 44
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies

[ QUOTE ]

Yes but also keep in mind pinnacle is not available for usa customers.

[/ QUOTE ]

So what? You can still look at the lines. They are far more efficient than the square Bodog lines....
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 03:49 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 44
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies

[ QUOTE ]

Thus I am done with this discussion, also keep in mind there is a reason the line is -130 online.

[/ QUOTE ]

You'll need to look at a book like Pinnacle or Matchbook, not Bodog,...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 03:19 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 44
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Here is a great idea on how to beat bookies

[ QUOTE ]
Even if your local is giving you slightly better vigs than online sites this just means you save on juice, how in the fccuk are you crushing a bookie just because you are getting reduced...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-26-2007, 01:54 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 122
Posted By hedgie43
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 11:36 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 14
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Noob Hockey Question

As Crockpot said on a thread earlier this weekend, combining 2 -EV bets does not make a +EV one. Blindly betting the dog ML and -1.5 is a great way to go broke.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 11:29 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 14
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Noob Hockey Question

[quote
How often did the favorite win by 1 goal though (you need to account for how often the dog won).

[/ QUOTE ]

Depends on the moneyline for that fav but obviously it is going to be greater...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 11:05 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 23
Posted By hedgie43
Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 10:47 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 14
Posted By hedgie43
Re: Noob Hockey Question

[ QUOTE ]
as long as it is not tied at the end of regulation you are in good shape, that would be a good bet.

If chicago wins they win, if vancouver is winning by one most likely they will score...
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 03:36 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 46
Posted By hedgie43
Re: NCAAF Early Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

Here's what Pinny has so far:

VaTech -3.5
LSU -7
Oklahoma -3.5
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 03:01 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 46
Posted By hedgie43
Forum: Sports Betting 11-25-2007, 02:05 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 16
Posted By hedgie43
Re: It\'s Wong City!!

[ QUOTE ]

So I say he made a good decision in rushing.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are the lines always going to move in his favor or are we just doing a bit of results oriented thinking?
Showing results 1 to 25 of 375

 
Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:53 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.