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Search: Posts Made By: Caelallaiach
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-24-2007, 01:17 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 86
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Folding QQ preflop - Too conservative?

[ QUOTE ]
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.336% 49.93% 01.40% 36764358 1033849.00 { QdQs }
Hand 1: 48.664% 47.26% 01.40% 34797016 1033849.00 ...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 04:44 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 25
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 25nl TPGK vs a donkbet

Glad you posted this hand, is this a reverse implied odds situation? Is that why you fold?
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 04:27 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 217
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl

If UTG raised it up to $0.75 in his first action and it folded round to Hero in the BB, I 100% agree with what you say, we would have to call $0.75 to win $4.81 and that would not be profitable.
...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 03:44 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 217
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl

[ QUOTE ]
lol, likewise. However I disagree about even calling the .35 to stack a shortie

[/ QUOTE ]

How come? He's not that short (as an aside, BB is $0.05, not $0.10, so not 10NL as most...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 03:01 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 217
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl

[ QUOTE ]
You are definitely getting the odds to call the extra $.35 even if just to set mine.. Remember Button called preflop too, so you have to include the % of time you will win from both...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 02:35 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 217
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl

Okay, I just did some quick calculations under the assumptions:-

1) We hold a small pocket pair like 55.
2) Our opponent holds AA.
3) We check/fold if we miss.
4) We get all our chips in if we...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 01:34 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 217
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl

[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand what's confusing here. If you consistantly make this call to set mine against a short stack (under 8x the PF cost in this case) you will NOT make enough $ to make this...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 01:30 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 217
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl

[ QUOTE ]
The UTG limp/raise MUCH more often than not is one of a very few premium hands which almost every hand flops horrible against.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with this statement, in my...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-20-2007, 12:51 PM
Replies: 49
Views: 217
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Can i get some insight 10nl

Smilin' is right, when the action comes back round to Hero, the pot is $2 and he has $0.35 to call, so he is getting laid close to 6 to 1 pots odds. In addition to this, UTG has $4.81 left in his...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-19-2007, 12:51 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 18
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 25NL - AJo, double barrel against short stack?

I am trying to work out the possible hands that Villain could have given that you raised preflop and bet flop and got called both times.

Starting with the most likely holding:-
Pocket Pair: You...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-05-2007, 11:43 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 14
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: some hands from quick session

Hand 1: Pre-flop call is fine, calling for set value, I wonder what CO folded for only 20c more! I think the min reraise is most likely a strong hand here.

Not sure how to play the flop, maybe...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-04-2007, 08:32 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 25
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 25nl two pair on river, value bet?

If he raises this bet, then I think I can find a fold here, standard Villains won't raise here without a hand that beats I would say.

If Villain had bet into you, I would probably just call as...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-04-2007, 08:27 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 22
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: NL2 6m: KK, RR pot, A flops, should I c-bet?

About $0.50 the right bet size?
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-04-2007, 08:26 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 25
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 25nl two pair on river, value bet?

I think I would make the same river bet, you have two pair and as I see it, Villain might well payoff a half pot value bet with AK or AJ. The only draw that hit was if Villain has KJ which is not the...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-04-2007, 08:04 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 22
Posted By Caelallaiach
NL2 6m: KK, RR pot, A flops, should I c-bet?

Only 30 hands so far, but I include stats for completeness:-

Hero is 18/13/3.0 over 30 hands.
Villain is 27/21/2.0 over 30 hands.

Sorry if this is a stupid question, but is it standard to bet...
Forum: Micro Stakes 09-03-2007, 08:52 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 19
Posted By Caelallaiach
NL2 6m: Overpair facing raise on the turn from LPP

Only 20 hands so far, but I include stats for completeness:-

Hero is 26/13/2.5 over 20 hands.
Villain is 73/0/1.5 over 20 hands.

What is Hero's play after being raised on the turn?
Any...
Forum: Micro Stakes 05-09-2007, 11:04 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 21
Posted By Caelallaiach
Live £10 5m: AA on coordinated board facing bet on the river.

Anyone up for analysing a live poker hand? Only a £10 game but interested to know if I played this hand correctly on all streets? Should I call the river bet? Any comments greatly appreciated.

My...
Forum: Micro Stakes 05-09-2007, 09:48 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 18
Posted By Caelallaiach
NL2 6m: Flop bottom 2 pair on dangerous board

Hero is 26/13/2.4 over 55 hands.
Villain is 47/8/1.0 over 55 hands.

Only history is that Villain stacked me early on when my flush ran into his Royal Flush.

What is Hero's play after being...
Forum: Micro Stakes 05-09-2007, 09:07 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 227
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 50 NL Video

I try to use winRAR to extract the files but it keeps telling me the files are corrupt, am I doing something wrong?
Forum: Micro Stakes 05-08-2007, 12:56 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 20
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: Nl25 J9s hit trips on flop tough turn/river decision

I don't think the flop call is all that bad, since original raiser might have an overpair and you are giving him another chance to fire on the turn and you don't know the BB is going to call.

I...
Forum: Micro Stakes 05-08-2007, 12:42 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 18
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: suited flop, top 2, he pushes turn, can i get away?

I think this is a close decision since the turn raise represents a lot of strength but it is a battle of the blinds, so I think Villain could potentially be shoving with a worse 2 pair like A4 or...
Forum: Micro Stakes 03-13-2007, 09:32 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 27
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 10NL: AQ standard?

Yeah, this is played fine, when you miss you will make the same bet about half of the time and want them to fold and to make this convincing you want to be value betting your made hands as well.
...
Forum: Micro Stakes 03-13-2007, 09:26 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 21
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 6max 50nl: 2 pair on turn

I don't like your check-call on the flop, you would be better leading out here than check-calling, but I think a check-fold is better. Being out of position with two other callers and AK on the...
Forum: Micro Stakes 03-13-2007, 09:12 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 25
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: NL10 6m: Low TPTK on flop but scare cards come

Hmm, I'm not sure whether he would bluff on the end here, he's pretty tight and I have not seen him play many hands and those that I have seen him he has hit a full house or a flush, both of which he...
Forum: Micro Stakes 03-13-2007, 09:06 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 55
Posted By Caelallaiach
Re: 10NL: Playing bottom two on a draw board OOP

[ QUOTE ]
It's not suited so fold PF. You won't hit the straight often enough and the 8 & 9 are useless OOP. As played beware of QT limping in. C/f the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree, he's...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 128

 
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