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Search: Posts Made By: Mr. Now
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 12-01-2007, 02:51 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 576
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: A TRADABLE CONCEPT?

Here are the instruments generated by the screen described, as of Friday's closing prices:

NOV PTR PKX PCU LFC
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-30-2007, 10:57 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 576
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: A TRADABLE CONCEPT?

You are on the right track about using price and volume as indicators over 1st and 2nd derivative indicators and oscillators.

Here is an idea:

0. Settle on the value of N and determine when the...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-30-2007, 12:15 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 576
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: A TRADABLE CONCEPT?

kimchi,

I am watching this with some interest. You might want to set some parameters that limit your scope, focus your attention and simplify the universe of options. For example, you might decide...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-17-2007, 10:31 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 134
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Shorting a stock and it goes to Zero

Such situations are now taxable events. Since you do not cover in this situation, there is no offsetting transaction and thus the trade never closes and no taxable event occurs.

That tax-free...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-12-2007, 11:28 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Giving the long dollar trade another try

Is 750 pips the monster move you are looking for?
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-12-2007, 11:26 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 564
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: so i\'ll have a law degree soon...

Ask three questions to get your answer:

1. What would I do if I no longer had to worry about money?
2. What have I achieved that has given me satisfaction and a feeling of importance?
3. What...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-12-2007, 11:56 AM
Replies: 57
Views: 455
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Etrade Potential Bankruptcy?

In a bankruptcy, all assets are locked until they sort things out. This means you cannot but or sell until then, whenver that actually is.

That's regarding your positions. Regarding your cash,...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-10-2007, 07:19 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Giving the long dollar trade another try

[ QUOTE ]

Quote:
Not stupid, yet definitely not long-term +EV.


This sentence caught my eye. Are you saying the commissions were too great long term, or are you saying it was...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-10-2007, 07:09 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-10-2007, 07:08 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Giving the long dollar trade another try

OK, here is what I mean:

The short trade of say, QQQQ (QQQ at that time) before March 2000 is in fact leading out with a prediction. In this case, a valid prediction. The OP suggests "shorts in...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-10-2007, 06:49 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Giving the long dollar trade another try

I apologize for being hard to understand, both in content and motive for posting here from time to time.

Mr. Now doesn't see any citations of any academics in his reply to the OP, which is the...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-10-2007, 06:03 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 82
Posted By Mr. Now
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-10-2007, 06:02 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 85
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: According to Dow Theory - Bear Market

There is a little more to Dow Theory than what you are representing here. You make no mention of confirmation for example.

The Dow price is currently moving in a consensus pivot zone- the area on...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-09-2007, 11:59 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Giving the long dollar trade another try

Not stupid, yet definitely not long-term +EV. Shorting before mid-March 2000 in any size requires recklessness, strong belief in prediction, or both. Market participants can maintain an irrational...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-08-2007, 10:56 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Giving the long dollar trade another try

For the record, Mr. Now engages in trading trends-- not "counter" trends.

Genuine trading in genuine trends is not supported by strongly held beliefs about the validity of predictions.

The...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 11-08-2007, 05:53 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 276
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Giving the long dollar trade another try

Judgements like these are usually *not* what good trades are made of. You are predicting, in effect telling Market what to do, instead of listening to what Market is saying via price and volume.
...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 10-15-2007, 03:48 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 92
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: How much money will i have after 3 years?

Simplify the problem with the Ruleof72.

Take 72 and divide by your return.

Take 72 and divide by 50% return.

Your money doubles in roughly: 1.44 years

Therefore your 8K is roughly 16 in...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 10-12-2007, 09:37 PM
Replies: 111
Views: 433
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Difference Between Poker and the Stock Market

In poker, you see the faces.

In markets, you don't.

In markets, all traders make a market, but only a few prosper.

Ditto for poker.
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 10-10-2007, 04:12 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 68
Posted By Mr. Now
26-yr old credit derivatives trader posts 350MM+ loss

...or so the employer (fund) claims.

This story is interesting across several fronts:

1. Same age range as typical reader of this forum
2. Is blamed for 350MM+ loss
3. Occurs at a time when...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 10-10-2007, 08:51 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 130
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Hiring a money manager

You actually mean 'accredited investor', someone who matches this definition below. Such a person is assumed to be sophisticated enough to not need the umbrella of protections defined in the...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 10-10-2007, 08:46 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 372
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: advice for first time home buyer?

Mr. Now says real estate cycles typically move in 10-year swings.

Rising to 1987, then flat for 10 years.

Rising into 2007.

You have plenty of time and as the renter you have the power now....
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 10-05-2007, 11:10 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 134
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Any other college grads with no desire to settle for corp. America

Everyone graduating from college with a business or compsci degree needs to be reading Marc Andressen's blog:

Example:
The Pmarca Guide to Career Planning, part 3: Where to go and why...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 10-05-2007, 11:06 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 208
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: Barron whats your r.o.r??

Barron,

Alot of the readers here are new to these terms. You might want to consider defining them as you go along, so what you write can be followed by anyone reading your more useful posts:

[...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 09-28-2007, 10:10 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 76
Posted By Mr. Now
Parallel universes exist - study

Do they? I post this and hope to hear from some physicists on this forum.

The role of attention and observation on actual state (vs. probability distributions) is certainly intriguing:
...
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 09-28-2007, 09:21 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 167
Posted By Mr. Now
Re: X Post: My thoughts on the coming dollar collapse

Staples go up in dollar terms after the diluted dollars percolate from the govt to the person buying eggs and milk.

This has absolutely nothing to do with speculation and everything to do with...
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