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Forum: Full Ring 12-02-2007, 02:29 AM
Replies: 107
Views: 1,403
Posted By sobos
Re: *** Official November Graphs/Results & December Goals Thread ***

[ QUOTE ]
Congratulations to those that had a killer month. Dilith and BodyManD stand out to me but I know there were a lot others.

My month was kinda meh but I'll definitely take it after...
Forum: Full Ring 12-02-2007, 02:23 AM
Replies: 128
Views: 1,306
Posted By sobos
Re: Bodog Regulars..

[ QUOTE ]
God I miss Bodog from 6-8 months ago. All games up to NL200 were insanely soft - I used to play NL100 everywhere else but at Bodog I sat at NL200. Now all tables are filled with the same...
Forum: Full Ring 11-30-2007, 08:17 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 1,118
Posted By sobos
Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

To me these numbers say that it's a clear fold, unless we know he pays off too much with less than top pair.
Forum: Full Ring 11-30-2007, 07:28 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 1,118
Posted By sobos
Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Maybe this villain hit a stretch of good cards and is really a 40/.5. Why do you assume (unless you know the hands he's played) that he's really looser, not tighter, than 2?
...
Forum: Full Ring 11-30-2007, 05:38 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 1,118
Posted By sobos
Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

Maybe this villain hit a stretch of good cards and is really a 40/.5. Why do you assume (unless you know the hands he's played) that he's really looser, not tighter, than 2?
Forum: Full Ring 11-30-2007, 04:48 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 1,118
Posted By sobos
Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

The fact that you he is a 40 just means that you have less fold equity, which makes 3betting AK less profitable. I have no idea how villains play at 25NL...do villains really stack off with JJQQKK...
Forum: Full Ring 11-30-2007, 04:45 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 242
Posted By sobos
Re: Some NL200 hands

Villain raises 8% of hands, so my rough guess is that he's raising about 4% of hands UTG. This range includes TTJJ and maybe 99 and AJ, so AQs has rather good equity against this range. The more...
Forum: Full Ring 11-30-2007, 05:42 AM
Replies: 61
Views: 1,118
Posted By sobos
Re: Folded AK to raise PF (Standard??)

Does anyone know what his range is? What are the top 2% of hands? I don't feel like working this out, but my guess is that it is limited to AAKKQQAK, and maybe JJ. AK has poor equity against this...
Forum: Full Ring 11-29-2007, 08:16 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 242
Posted By sobos
Re: Some NL200 hands

1.not sure about this one...seems iffy
2. fold pre
3.bet flop...if villain is that spewy/agg shove to a flop raise...
4.bet flop. as played value bet river about $50....i dont mind the overbet...
Forum: Full Ring 11-29-2007, 06:20 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 325
Posted By sobos
Re: 600 NL flopped set.

Why did you play the turn that way. I usually check/call the turn there, but I know that's pretty weak. I'm not saying your play is wrong, but why did you raise turn?
Forum: Full Ring 11-29-2007, 04:43 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 488
Posted By sobos
Re: NL100: blind battle flopped aces up line check

I like the flop check, but I'm not sure about what to do on the river. Villain is passive...do you really think he's bluffing here? This really looks like AJAQAK to me. River agg factor would help...
Forum: Full Ring 11-27-2007, 02:36 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 169
Posted By sobos
Re: [100nl] Deepstacked with underboat, stack off?

Easy shove. Eh, occasionally he'll have KQ, QQ, but shoving is definitely +EV. This is not a tournament.
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 06:31 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 159
Posted By sobos
Re: Flop nut straight, possible flush on river 100NL

Call. This is often a flush, but remember that you don't have to win this every time for it to be a +EV call.
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 06:13 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 404
Posted By sobos
Re: NL 100: AKo Squeeze

You're a 43% dog to QQ (6/12 chance) a 70% dog to KK (3/12) and a 92% dog to AA (3/12)>>>> ~33% equity! Assuming you have 0 FE and get one caller, you have to pay $66 into a (70+70+13)=153 pot...
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 06:00 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 187
Posted By sobos
Re: 200NL TP weak kicker in the BB

Huh? Who said that generalizing isn't thinking critically?
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 05:58 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 404
Posted By sobos
Re: NL 100: AKo Squeeze

Your pot equity is about 33% and your pot odds are 42% if his range is QQKKAA. It seems -EV to shove given that you have no fold equity. If you include JJ in there, then your equity is about 39% and...
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 05:26 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 404
Posted By sobos
Re: NL 100: AKo Squeeze

Can you please explain to me why this is a good shove if his range is QQ+? You have next to zero FE, almost nothing invested, and poor pot equity. Please explain.
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 05:18 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 404
Posted By sobos
Re: NL 100: AKo Squeeze

What are you defining as the villain's committing 3bet range (this is VERY different from a normal 3bet range) and a villain's 3bet coldcall range and assume he's calling your shove his entire range....
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 05:11 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 187
Posted By sobos
Re: 200NL TP weak kicker in the BB

Why are people around here so afraid to generalize their plays. I hate to break it to you, but your decision probably depends on many fewer factors than you think...why can't we start to generalize...
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 05:08 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 404
Posted By sobos
Re: NL 100: AKo Squeeze

When a 70BB player raises to 13BB, there is almost 0% chance he's folding to a shove. If he had 100BB, that chance goes up a lot.

I really think a lot of people around this forum are overly...
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 05:01 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 187
Posted By sobos
Re: 200NL TP weak kicker in the BB

Ok, so you check flop. When do you call/raise/fold a flop bet? What do you do on the turn if it's checked through on the flop?
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 04:54 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 187
Posted By sobos
Re: 200NL TP weak kicker in the BB

This post helps nobody. Please explain. Why is betting a mistake and what does this decision depend on?
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 04:53 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 404
Posted By sobos
Re: NL 100: AKo Squeeze

In my experience, a big COMMITTING 3bet in this spot is AAKKQQAK from the majority of players, AAKK from nits, and 22-AAAKAQAJKQKJ from a small minority of donktards. Occasionally, you will be...
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 04:46 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 187
Posted By sobos
200NL TP weak kicker in the BB

This a very standard hand that every player has multiple times per session. I'm wondering how different people play it.

Effective stacks=$200. Hero is 19/13/2.

Hero has A9 in the BB. 5 to...
Forum: Full Ring 11-26-2007, 04:36 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 54
Posted By sobos
What is the status of the forum split?

I think we almost unanimously voted for a split. What is holding this up? Who is in charge?
Showing results 1 to 25 of 88

 
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