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Forum: Small Stakes 11-07-2007, 07:00 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 124
Posted By _Sundance
Re: CTS did something like this in his video

Like the CTS referenced hand, I think this could be a good example of a turn bet that needs a small fold% to be +ve ev given villians likely calling range and frequencies.

I say could be because...
Forum: Full Ring 05-31-2007, 07:30 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 47
Posted By _Sundance
Re: NL 100/200: how much should i focus on image

To really know if you have a problem here you need to also look at all the times they folded to the shove or called with a worst hand/big draw. Additionally, for observant opponents, your cbet p&l...
Forum: Full Ring 05-13-2007, 06:37 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 81
Posted By _Sundance
Re: 200nl: 3 bet AK vs 2 tight players...BOTH call, AK UI on flop

It sure looks like they both could have medium pp, possibly small pp/AK.

I think you get called by overpairs (especially with a club) for the cbet to be +ve ev here. However, I think you have a...
Forum: Full Ring 04-15-2007, 09:58 AM
Replies: 43
Views: 167
Posted By _Sundance
Re: How often are your pocket kings up against pocket aces?

I'm not sure it's this straight-forward:

(i) by the time you work out your opponent has a masssive hand it's often too late to fold KK for 100bb stacks preflop, e.g. you raise to 5bb, opp reraises...
Forum: Full Ring 04-15-2007, 07:21 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 70
Posted By _Sundance
Re: TPGK + 2nd flush draw in multiway pot

I think you should raise. You want tricky to define his hand further (preferably with a fold) and tighty to fold a flush draw.

Bet $100 - slightly over pot-size. If tricky pushes and tighty folds...
Forum: Software 04-11-2007, 05:13 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 553
Posted By _Sundance
Re: Eurobet (ongame) Runtime Error

I think the black screen problem is caused when you start or move ongame table to a display with negative coordinates (you can see this in the display properties/settings - hover your mouse over the...
Forum: Medium Stakes 04-09-2007, 04:44 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 41
Posted By _Sundance
Re: AK semi-deep plan from the flop onwards

If villian is decent then I think the most you are getting out of a worse hand right now is one value bet or further bluffs. If you reraise and get action/calls then you are hoping villian has AA.
...
Forum: Medium Stakes 04-09-2007, 04:27 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 166
Posted By _Sundance
Re: 400nl AK flop decision.

I'd make it a pot-sized $68 preflop to price out small/medium pps (in this and future hands where I have a big pp).

As played a lot depends on how strong villian is and how he sees your 3 bet...
Forum: Full Ring 03-27-2007, 05:01 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 185
Posted By _Sundance
Re: (100nl) - Bottom set foldable here?

Given your read and villians call, I would say most of his range is 88/JJ/T9/87h/JTh/AKh/AQh maybe QQ and a little bit of AJ and even less KJ

I would be puzzled by villian's call on the flop with...
Forum: Medium Stakes 03-26-2007, 06:30 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 77
Posted By _Sundance
Re: Flopped Top full - deep 2/5NL

My thoughts fwiw:

From your read of UTG I guess much of his range after his flop check is AK/AQ. Button could have a wide range here and your only read suggests he might be aggressive. So, it's...
Forum: Software 03-14-2007, 06:35 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 162
Posted By _Sundance
Anyone having problems with ongame?

Is anyone else having problems connecting to ongame? It seems like it just crashed.
Forum: Full Ring 03-12-2007, 06:14 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 51
Posted By _Sundance
Re: (NL100 )- QQ, big 3bet pf cold called by regular... now what?

He ought to have a big hand here as you suggest but you do often see TT/JJ/AKs/AKo or sometimes a small PP (hoping MP1 calls) even from solid multi-tablers.

Unless villian is fairly passive I...
Forum: Small Stakes 03-11-2007, 01:37 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 138
Posted By _Sundance
Re: NL100 - QQ deep against nutgrinder

If your preflop read is really correct then he has AK about 50% of the time here. You probably need to have a good idea of how he plays AA/KK here to know what is the best line. If he won't lose a...
Forum: Affiliates/RakeBack 03-11-2007, 01:10 PM
Replies: 125
Views: 1,997
Posted By _Sundance
Re: Pacific Poker Rakeback?

I'd also appreciate a PM with any information about Pacific rakeback
Forum: Full Ring 02-08-2007, 01:48 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 82
Posted By _Sundance
Re: 89s - Is this standard?

You need to win about 42% of the time when called for this to be positive ($85 bet to win $200). The only real opponent hands for which this is not true or better are AdJd/AdKd (around 32% and 21%)....
Forum: Small Stakes 01-23-2007, 09:44 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 53
Posted By _Sundance
Re: Time for my annual three barrel checkup

I quite like it /images/graemlins/smile.gif

I think JT thinks a bit before just calling on the turn.

Villian has shown a willingness to call pre-flop with rubbish (albeit with position). I...
Forum: Medium Stakes 01-19-2007, 06:37 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 65
Posted By _Sundance
Re: triple barrelling on a whim (NL600)

Easy to say this with hindsight, but on the flop you should realise that your opponent doesn't have the stack to effectively triple barrel.

Given this you should probably maximise the fold equity...
Forum: Micro Stakes 01-04-2007, 12:32 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 30
Posted By _Sundance
Re: $50nl - AJ vs. Insane Clown Posse

I would probably value bet the turn here against a villian like this and call a push. If he continues with the hand I expect his range to be worse pair + heart more often than a better hand.

As...
Forum: Micro Stakes 01-04-2007, 11:37 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 183
Posted By _Sundance
Re: AK flops two pair against tight pf reraiser

Reraising pre-flop is little tricky here given stacks. If you make it say $8 and villian pushes you should probably call and if he calls he will probably push his remaining $9 into the $18 pot giving...
Forum: Internet Bonuses 01-04-2007, 10:10 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 121
Posted By _Sundance
Re: PokerRoom Rake/Player Points Change

I see that too. I think you used to get 0.07 points for every 10c in rake up to the $3 max (2.1 points).

It seems like they have effectively taken player points away from the micro limits (maximum...
Forum: Small Stakes 12-28-2006, 07:32 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 197
Posted By _Sundance
$1/2 6 max, deep - push trips into pf 3-bettor with trips

I've been lurking a bit and have decided to get more active to improve my game. Any comments appreciated:

Villian was 30/25/1 over about 65 hands. I hadn't seen him 3-bet pre-flop previously...
Forum: Small Stakes 12-28-2006, 06:29 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 76
Posted By _Sundance
Re: AK TPTK and NFD RR pot

Without reads at this level, a looseish villian could easily have KQ/AK/AJ/99+. If there hand contains a diamond then they might easily raise/call here. AK might raise anyway.
Forum: Small Stakes 12-28-2006, 06:20 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 76
Posted By _Sundance
Re: AK TPTK and NFD RR pot

Given stacks/no reads I'm going all the way with this hand. However, I do bet the flop because:

(i) If I am up against KK/AA (or less likely 66/33) then I want to escalate all-in here where I...
Forum: Medium Stakes 12-28-2006, 05:59 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 111
Posted By _Sundance
Re: 2/4 NL i dont think he has anything..

If SB is solid pre/post-flop then this may be a slow-played trips gone wrong or even a big PP with a spade that he decided to trap you with.

If SB is loose post-flop then maybe add pp hands like...
Forum: Small Stakes 12-27-2006, 05:57 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 149
Posted By _Sundance
Re: 22 set - Flop fold thoughts

OP, surely villian has a much bigger chance of having TT->QQ, AhKh, AhQh than 99/33 BEFORE the raise on the flop - I would put it at about 90%/10% (possibly more given the 9 and 3 on the flop).
...
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