Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Search Forums
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Showing results 1 to 25 of 60
Search took 0.00 seconds.
Search: Posts Made By: DeucesUp
Forum: Internet Gambling 01-19-2007, 03:01 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 107
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: How long does it take to be issued a Neteller debit card?

FWIW, I requested a neteller ATM card as soon as I as I began hearing rumors of problems with EFT's. A day+ later I received a email telling me my request for a card was DECLINED. No explanation...
Forum: Sports Betting 01-13-2007, 11:46 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 469
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: pinny pull out?

WSEX response

no
Forum: Sports Betting 01-13-2007, 08:40 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 78
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: How much of this should I lay off????? Philly/Saints game.

Unless bankroll considerations come into play, evaluate each bet on it's own merits. Only bet Philly if you think it's +EV.

If your friends bet amount is an especially big one for you then you...
Forum: Sports Betting 08-16-2006, 02:29 PM
Replies: 280
Views: 1,275
Posted By DeucesUp
Payment options.

Word of caution on using PayPal: They consider Fantasy Football leagues gambling and against their T&C. I ran a league last year and everyone who got paid via PayPal had their account and balance...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-27-2006, 03:24 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 143
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Calculate Arbitrage/Scalp bet with different spreads?

Got it!

Multiply the amount you'll win if teamA wins by the probability that teamA wins for your expected profit. Then do the same for teamB. The expected profit is the number you want to be the...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-27-2006, 02:20 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 143
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Calculate Arbitrage/Scalp bet with different spreads?

[ QUOTE ]
This is the line I am having trouble with:
<< (T –L) / L (T+2) + 1 = percentage won.

In his example (T-L) would not equal 1.55

[/ QUOTE ]

You're right 1.55 is a typo:
Forum: Sports Betting 03-25-2006, 07:04 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 57
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: World Cup 2006

I find international soccer pretty hard to cap for a number of reasons. The national teams don't play a lot a games, most of the games they do play are against the teams in their qualifying groups...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-24-2006, 05:47 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 47
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: +EV for baseball parlay?

I see where you're going with this, and you've got a good point, but you have to be careful. 8 isn't going to be more likely than 9 even if the total is 7 because you can't finish 4-4. Most games...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-23-2006, 05:18 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 51
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Thu Nite Sweet 16 CBB picks

These are the 4 sides I'm on tonight as well. Almost every capper who I respect is on WVa tonight and I just can't figure it out, UT really looks like the play to me.
Forum: Sports Betting 03-23-2006, 03:57 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 143
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Calculate Arbitrage/Scalp bet with different spreads?

[ QUOTE ]
Let's try another example so you guys can tell me I'm wrong again. More obvious this time (for example sake)

Book1: PHI +7 -110
Book2: CHI -5 +120

Price conversions:
-110 = 10/11...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-07-2006, 11:31 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 48
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Honda Classic - Toms/Love/Harrington - Huh?

Yeah, obviously something is a little off there. Looks like the best value is probably taking Toms over Harrington at even-money (or even-money minus the vig, you didn't say what the odds were on...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-04-2006, 05:37 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 83
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: NCAAB Unranked vs Ranked 03/02

That's absolutely a valid comparison and a good point. Definitely there are always going be a lot of really bad sports bettors out there. The problem is that, unlike poker, you can't just play...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-04-2006, 02:49 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 83
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: NCAAB Unranked vs Ranked 03/02

Thanks Performify, I wasn't aware that the trend had been published and widely read. You're right that alone could kill it as there's no way the books are going to let bundles of complete newbies...
Forum: Sports Betting 03-04-2006, 02:26 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 83
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: NCAAB Unranked vs Ranked 03/02

EZ,

Even if NoChance is tired of discussing it, I think it's interesting to try to break down this system and I'll play along with you.

Personally I like the idea of this system. It seems to...
Forum: Sports Betting 02-24-2006, 06:38 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 105
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Is this profitable?

youtalkfunny,

Thanks for the story and the insight. Very interesting and entertaining.
Forum: Sports Betting 02-23-2006, 04:06 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 50
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Where is the flaw in this logic?

Here's a rough estimate:

(assumptions 5pt fav wins 66%, covers 50%, therefore dog wins 34% and fav wins 1-4pts 16%

Favs cover: 25% * -9.68 = $-2.42
Favs win <5: 2.6% * 32.32 = $0.83
Dogs...
Forum: Sports Betting 02-23-2006, 03:23 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 129
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: When can you be confident that you are a winner?

[ QUOTE ]
Wow, you are 90% you will win when you bet the favorite? just wow.
You're right, If you are 90% you will win every bet you make on the favorite, then everything I have said is definately...
Forum: Sports Betting 02-22-2006, 08:58 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 129
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: When can you be confident that you are a winner?

[ QUOTE ]
Fair enough, but I am much more willing to not be able to easily access my success than going broke. I think that kelly betting, and any system that varies your bet size is extremely...
Forum: Sports Betting 02-22-2006, 06:28 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 129
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: When can you be confident that you are a winner?

[ QUOTE ]
I personally don't adhere to the bet "to win" 1-unit philosophy. I feel this would greatly increase my variance and have me betting way above my bankroll when I take a favorite every now...
Forum: Sports Betting 02-22-2006, 08:33 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 129
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: When can you be confident that you are a winner?

The answer to your question depends on a lot of factors. How certain do you want to be that you're a winner? What have been the terms of the bets you've made? How good have your results been? etc....
Forum: Sports Betting 02-18-2006, 12:32 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 58
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: i just don\'t get it

They also set a total of 240.5, so maybe they don't get them all right.
Forum: Sports Betting 02-17-2006, 09:32 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 65
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Need a pick - $11 short of reaching free withdrawal.

If you get an extra $15 of "EV" on a winner, wouldn't it make sense to bet on a heavy moneyline favorite?
Forum: Sports Betting 02-08-2006, 07:37 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 101
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Thoughts on betting on blowouts

[ QUOTE ]
Mich St is currently -3500 v Purdue at Pinny
Pinny offers an initial deposit bonus of 10% upto $500. You have to stake 3 times of your initial deposit and let the deposit and bonus sit...
Forum: Sports Betting 02-07-2006, 06:20 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 62
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: 0-30

[ QUOTE ]
1 out of 500 chance of that happening.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, he's saying 0.002% not 0.002 decimal. That's a 1 in 50,000 shot
Forum: Sports Betting 02-05-2006, 03:08 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 48
Posted By DeucesUp
Re: Total Number of players to have a passing attempt

Injury to a QB
Half back pass or receiver on a reverse pass
Fake kick.

Trick plays are a bit more likely in the SB with 2 weeks to prepare...however.

But your right I think this is a good bet...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 60

 
Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:48 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.