Forum: Sports Betting
11-22-2006, 01:50 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 98
Re: Den vs KC middle
[ QUOTE ]
this is pretty much exactly breakeven. each team has about a 2% chance of beating the other team by exactly 1 point, for a combined 4% expectation of pushing either side outright. so 8c of...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-22-2006, 01:43 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 98
Re: Den vs KC middle
Update:
Bodog sharp now has correct line on KC -1 (not +1).
So I *STUPIDLY* looked at Pinny to see if selling DEN +1 to -1 +112 vs KC -110 line for a possible arb.
So I put the bets in......
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-21-2006, 08:27 PM
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Replies: 88
Views: 288
Re: Week of 11/20 - CBB picks
Austiger,
I had been looking at several threads lately, and today finally taking some action bets & chose your games that you had mentioned earlier:
New Mexico -5 -110 (Bodog)
Kan St/NM Over...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-20-2006, 02:20 PM
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Replies: 57
Views: 217
Re: another big pick
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An important note on the Wake Forest/Maryland game. If BC beats Miami on Thursday night, the game becomes meaningless for Maryland in the ACC. I have a feeling that it would be quite...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-20-2006, 01:50 PM
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Replies: 55
Views: 220
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-16-2006, 09:27 PM
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Replies: 20
Views: 100
Re: W Virginia/Pitt?
Any feeling of how the game is going? Think WV will cover the -10 (I did not have any feel on this spread anyway) from what I'm seeing so far.
In any case, I love the 21 points 1st quarter, WV...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-16-2006, 09:13 PM
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Replies: 118
Views: 562
Re: Tue cbb system pix
[ QUOTE ]
Hmmm...I still see -5 on Pinny.
[/ QUOTE ]
Yes. When not logged in, it shows -5 -102.
After logging in, using pull-down menu, you could select -4.5 -112. Just commenting here...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-16-2006, 06:59 PM
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Replies: 20
Views: 100
Re: W Virginia/Pitt?
[ QUOTE ]
x-posted to my picks thread
...........
oh yeah, I'm on West Virginia/Pitt O52 and I feel good about that despite the nasty weather reports.
I think the wetness favors the offensive...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-15-2006, 01:26 PM
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Replies: 27
Views: 163
Re: silentbob\'s NBA modified \"chase\" system
[ QUOTE ]
Both lines moved against me, which was somewhat worrisome, but it all worked out.
YTD, games: 4-1
YTD, road trips: 4-0, +4 units
No bet on Seattle vs. Philadelphia for tomorrow...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-15-2006, 01:15 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 90
Re: What a ride: RAPTORS or bust
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Disgusting.
Toronto should be stripped of their franchise.
Mofos didn't even show up for the 4th quarter.
[/ QUOTE ]
As I just posted in another thread, I only followed this...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-15-2006, 12:56 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 103
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-13-2006, 01:53 AM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
Thanks everyone for your replies. I understand better now and realize that the original thought that I shared was more along the lines of attempt to scalp (*not* arbing) in that L'ville/Rutgers...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-10-2006, 03:34 AM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
One more thing that I wanted to clarify with everyone on how we define & perceive sports arbitage.
what's the difference between two scenarios below:
--Scenario A--
Thursday night, Nov 9th...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-10-2006, 03:04 AM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
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I don't understand at all. So you're betting both sides of a line and giving away juice just so you can call it an arb when you make a live bet later?
[/ QUOTE ]
Worded it that way,...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-10-2006, 12:46 AM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
[ QUOTE ]
It's not arbitrage if you're exposed for any play.
[/ QUOTE ]
Then again as I think about it more, KnickNut3 said it already in a sense. I was exposed for "a play" as the clock had...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-10-2006, 12:36 AM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 11:27 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
Oh, very very true. I don't do *BOTH SIDES* live arbing, yikes. (Btw, how?)
I basically started this... whatever the right word is... not an arb, but not delayed arb becuz it doesn't start as...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 11:11 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
I am so glad I took care of business closing the delayed arb opportunity....
Rutgers now back into this game, down only by 3, 25-22. I had made mistake with math as I meant to have "small lean on...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 11:01 PM
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Replies: 121
Views: 891
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 10:33 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
True, I did not look at the Lville value.....
That said, I'm not looking to 'cap this game, though, so hedging would imply that I'm 'capping. This was all intentionally a delayed arb attempt...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 10:23 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
I see Pinny has 2nd Half options including one that caught my eye:
Lville +11 -1000
Rutg -11 +740
Since Rutg are down 25-14, that is equivalent to ML as the game can't end on a tie. Not sure...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 10:02 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
[ QUOTE ]
There it is, it just popped up. Rutgers +720
[/ QUOTE ]
Yep got it for the 2nd of 3 parts!
Not greedy but this was why I did this in 3 parts...
Lville -240 3 units pregame (risk...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 09:57 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
I am hoping Rutgers will score so the ML may come back... my friend says they just scored! Hope with a 25-14 game, Pinny shows the ML line again soon...
* CalvinTy
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 09:54 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Re: Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
It would be listed as "NCAA Live"... sometimes even the spreads don't show up while actual play is going on... during breaks, you will see spreads and totals. Right now with Lville up 25-7, maybe no...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-09-2006, 09:38 PM
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Replies: 24
Views: 117
Pinny Live (arbing heaven...!)
I have accts with just Pinny and Bodog (at this time). I enjoyed watching MLB Live during the playoffs, and NFL Live offered on SNF/MNF games.
Tonight as Pinny offered NCAAF Live on Lville/Rutg,...
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