Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 09:04 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,371
Re: the proof is in the pudding
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odds of the bet being placed are next to 0
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I think they may be a bit higher than this.
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 08:49 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,371
Re: the proof is in the pudding
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offering to bet when you know no bet will be placed
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I am certainly hoping one will be placed!!! Edges are hard enough to find - I push them when I can get...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 08:39 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,371
Re: the proof is in the pudding
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I don't agree that it's just an e-peen thing. The regulars in this forum enjoy betting and always have their eyes open for +EV bets. If someone comes in making outlandish...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 08:37 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,371
Re: the proof is in the pudding
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I don't agree that it's just an e-peen thing. The regulars in this forum enjoy betting and always have their eyes open for +EV bets. If someone comes in making outlandish statements,...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 07:31 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,371
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 09:58 AM
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Replies: 12
Views: 886
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2007, 04:11 PM
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Replies: 63
Views: 1,246
Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
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I didn't think he was being sarcastic but I've been known to miss some pretty obvious ones in my time.
After reading that one again it still feels like he legitimately believes in those...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2007, 03:09 PM
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Replies: 46
Views: 672
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2007, 01:55 PM
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Replies: 63
Views: 1,246
Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
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fading guys who are on hot streaks and occasionally going with guys who are on a rough patch
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I was under the impression he was being sarcastic so I was...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-29-2007, 11:05 AM
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Replies: 63
Views: 1,246
Re: Nov 28th Paid Service Plays
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"the only way to win following these guys is when they are hot."
I agree that if I take the picks that happen to be winners then that should work out very well.
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What...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 10:20 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 609
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Forum: Medium Stakes
11-28-2007, 04:35 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 441
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 04:32 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 609
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 12:43 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 575
Re: MMA
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That Lyoto line was free money.
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The question is whether or not to arb my position.... I certainly think a +150 sokou is +EV...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 12:21 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 575
Re: MMA
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That Lyoto line is interesting.
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It's also long gone, as is the GSP line I posted.
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 10:39 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 575
MMA
32521 CLAY GUIDA -140
32522 ROGER HUERTA +110
MIXED MARTIAL ARTS - Dec 15HDNET FIGHTS-2: " RECKLESS ABANDON " - DALLAS, TX - $250OFFICIAL WEBSITE: www.HDNETFIGHTS.COM8...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 01:37 PM
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Replies: 17
Views: 733
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 10:57 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 733
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 09:45 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 733
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Forum: Medium Stakes
11-26-2007, 03:59 PM
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Replies: 16
Views: 757
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-26-2007, 03:22 PM
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Replies: 55
Views: 1,585
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-25-2007, 07:09 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 427
Re: Bankroll Management Question
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Well I know you readjust, but why every play rather than a set number of plays (say 150 or so). is there math behind this?
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Which is more accurate(assuming GW Bushi isn't...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-25-2007, 06:56 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 427
Re: Bankroll Management Question
I like to readjust instantly or go with a set amount of gambling capital/power.
That is, kelly bet based on a set number like 30K. Of course the way i do it, this is much more conservative since...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-19-2007, 10:16 AM
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Replies: 81
Views: 819
Re: UFC 78, TUF 6 Finale, UFC 79
Afterthoughts minus hindsight bias
32501 MICHAEL BISPING +215
32502 RASHAD EVANS -275
This was an ultracompetitive fight but realistically how often does Bisping actually win? 50/50 is...
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