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Forum: Probability 06-12-2007, 06:02 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 58
Posted By vdh
Re: drawchance in order to calculate positive expectation

[ QUOTE ]
Board 7h 2c Th Kd

But my EV against flush draw is:
38/47*10 – 9/47*1 = +7.89

Since you are assuming he is drawing to a Flush, you must assume he has 2 hearts in his hand.

4 on...
Forum: Probability 06-12-2007, 05:59 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 58
Posted By vdh
Re: drawchance in order to calculate positive expectation

[ QUOTE ]
I still don't see how your -EV can only be one with that range.
If you are first to act, and are betting, then he is raising with AA/AK.
If you are last to act, and he is betting, then...
Forum: Probability 06-12-2007, 12:53 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 58
Posted By vdh
Re: drawchance in order to calculate positive expectation

Ok, would this make sence?

Conditional chance P (flushdraw|better hand) where a better hand E=0.921*(-0.14) and a flushdraw E=38/47*7.89.

Please feel free to correct me where I am wrong.

[1-...
Forum: Probability 06-07-2007, 07:59 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 58
Posted By vdh
Re: drawchance in order to calculate positive expectation

Alright, I will put it another way.

Example (hypothetical)

I have Kc Js
Opponent has X X

Board 7h 2c Th Kd

On the turn I have to make the call for 1 and the pot is 10. My opponent has a...
Forum: Probability 06-06-2007, 10:35 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 58
Posted By vdh
drawchance in order to calculate positive expectation

Hi,

I am looking for a way to calculate the chance that my opponent has a draw in order to calculate my positive expectation for a call. Sorry if the sentence is misplaced, but my English doesn’t...
Forum: Small Stakes 05-14-2007, 10:38 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 145
Posted By vdh
Re: Inside Poker article - \"The Greek\" on \"Real Pot Odds\"

This is quite easy. All you guys think about is push and raise. What if 2 other player are involved with Ah Ad and 9c 9h?(TT not possible of course) Then we have a problem. I think you should look at...
Forum: Medium Stakes 05-14-2007, 07:59 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 22
Posted By vdh
BB call/raise question

I want to ask a theoretical question?

Lets say the game is 3/6 and 8 handed.
MP 710
D 830
BB 670

MP raises 18 with QQ. D calls 18 en BB calls also.

MP, D and BB are typical players. No...
Showing results 1 to 7 of 7

 
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