Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 05:57 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
ldo.
Another pudding question. My local Thai place has a fantastic coconut custardish desert. It has a thai name. Can i call that pudding, if it shares the consistency?
If so, that's clearly...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 05:48 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
This thread really got me thinking introspectively about some stuff. Which I guess is probably a lot more productive than anything I expected to come out of a thread with pudding in the title.
If...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 05:39 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
I had one of those Starbucks coffee Frappuccino things in a bottle earlier today and I thought, "Man, this tastes kind of like pudding."
Then I opened this thread. It was weird.
[/...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 05:39 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If he's actually 60% to win a game, his "true" line for that game is -150.
[/ QUOTE ]
Well, yeah, obviously, but we were talking about his true line to pick 60/100,...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 05:32 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
If he's actually 60% to win a game, his "true" line for that game is -150.
Switching subjects, if the widely available line is -110, a 60% win rate represents a Kelly stake of 16% of his...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 04:22 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
Rereading this, the only thing I can think is maybe cat just doesn't get what is being offered.
They're not asking to book your bets.
They're offering a straight up challenge wager, a 10k...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 04:11 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
i MAKE 3 to 1 on my money.
[/ QUOTE ]
lol
If you're reliably making 3:1 every 60-90 days, you'd be a multi-millionaire from sports betting alone.
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 03:13 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
It's funny - perf's avatar shows exactly how I imagine him as he moderates this forum. /images/graemlins/smile.gif
[/ QUOTE ]
/images/graemlins/grin.gif I put it together for...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 01:48 PM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
[ QUOTE ]
such a howl and crescendo..
yes, indeed, the whole gist of the post was missed; and, in being missed, underscored...
[/ QUOTE ]
So enlighten us, oh masterful picker of the 61%...
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 02:55 AM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
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Forum: Sports Betting
12-01-2007, 02:41 AM
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Replies: 99
Views: 11,402
Re: the proof is in the pudding
From the FAQ:
# What is the highest sustainable win rate in point spread betting?
# Generally, somewhere in the 55%-60% range is considered the maximum that is sustainable. However, if you start...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2007, 08:06 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 1,731
Re: Likely dumb vig question
Yes, the average would be -270. Probably just a typo.
For those following along at home, you can do all the math above with a Moneyline Converter, for example...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2007, 05:34 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 3,186
Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Allow me to answer your question with a question:
My bookie dropped his wallet. I picked it up. It contains thousands of SklanskyBucks.
Should I return it?
For what...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2007, 02:49 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 548
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2007, 02:41 PM
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Replies: 29
Views: 3,186
Re: When Bookies Make Big Line Errors
[ QUOTE ]
tell him he has an error
[/ QUOTE ]
Indeed.
As Dali found out first hand, dealing with locals is a whole different story.
If you want to continue to be able to use his...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-30-2007, 02:37 PM
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Replies: 180
Views: 4,473
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 05:16 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 529
Re: Conditions this week at Heinz Field
There is already an official thread for this game. This discussion should go there.
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=13133517
-P
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 03:57 AM
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Replies: 180
Views: 4,473
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 01:37 AM
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Replies: 21
Views: 1,244
Re: hows this for a teaser?
WarDekar ran himself off (or threatened to) solely on the behavior of one poster, Hedgie43, with less than 400 posts.
That's not exactly the consensus of the forum rising up against him. Thremp,...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 01:02 AM
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Replies: 24
Views: 667
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 01:01 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 813
Re: How does a book determine if you\'re a sharp?
Bodog's sharp lines are usually shaded towards the underdogs, just not so much.
If you exclusively bet underdogs at Bodog, even at $10 a bet, I imagine you'll be on the sharp lines after a couple...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-28-2007, 12:37 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 575
Re: MMA
[ QUOTE ]
That Lyoto line was free money.
[/ QUOTE ]
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 11:31 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 813
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 10:49 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 813
Re: How does a book determine if you\'re a sharp?
Cat is incorrect.
Bodog (and most other sites) deal sharp lines by account, regardless of IP. Your behavior there gets flagged as sharp (primarily betting primarily the underdogs which are shaded...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-27-2007, 05:43 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 785
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