Fold trips here?
 

Villain is running 29-19. We'd played a few hands together, and he has typically folded when I bet on the flop, although he is by no means weak tight. Goes to showdown about 25% of the time and wins 45%. It really smelled like a flush to me.


Poker Room skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
10 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $14
UTG+1: $31.50
UTG+2: $47.25
MP1: $46.65
MP2: $51.15
MP3: $20
Hero: $97.05
Button: $48.75
SB: $36.05
BB: $62.95

Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is CO with KQ
4 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 (poster) checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2</font>, 3 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 folds.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($5.25, 2 players)
MP2 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $4</font>, MP2 calls.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($13.25, 2 players)
MP2 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8</font>, <font color="#cc0000">MP2 raises to $16</font>, Hero calls.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($45.25, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">MP2 is all-in $29.15</font>, Hero...

Re: Fold trips here?
 

I'm not sure exactly what he has, but I think he has you beat here.

Re: Fold trips here?
 

Tough laydown but I'm folding the turn after the c/r

Re: Fold trips here?
 

likely flush id fold

Re: Fold trips here?
 

Fold.

Re: Fold trips here?
 

IF you are folding, it is certainly not on the turn.

The pot has $13.25 + 8 + 16 = 37.25 in it; 37.25/8 (to call)= 4.6:1.

3 Kings + 1 Queen + 3 Eights + 3 Fives = 10 Outs or 4.6:1 to fill-up, if he has a flush. We are not folding here.

If he has a Q (does he limp open limp AQ in MP? or maybe KQ, QJ, QT, ) we are making a terrible mistake. How does he play his draws, hit or miss? I feel like a min-raise on the turn OOP is a queen, flush, or full-house (bad shape). Try:
p(q)= .1
p(fl)= .8
p(fh)=.1

River feels like a fold to me, but the turn is never one.

Re: Fold trips here?
 

[ QUOTE ]
Tough laydown but I'm folding the turn after the c/r

[/ QUOTE ]

That would be really bad. You should river a boat or quads instead. You should also look to see if you have Kd

Re: Fold trips here?
 

Looks like another one of those situations where you know you're ahead but want to call and make sure. In this case, I think a fold is prudent.

Theres a chance he's pulling moves like this with another queen, but given his stats, QJ is most likely (and is now beating you).