River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

Villain is 20/10 w/ a flop af of 1.8 and a turn af of 1.33. He's competent but not too good. I know he thinks I'm a nit, and I think he's trying some kind of weak bluff on the turn, but I have the redraw. On the river, I think he's giving up, but I'm not sure about my showdown value. I want to bluff this river, but how much? Is shoving any good? Also, should I have raised turn?

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $10.35
BB: $10.80
UTG: $16.80
CO: $38.70
Hero (BTN): $17.20

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG calls $0.10, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.50</font>, SB folds, BB calls $0.40, UTG folds

Flop: ($1.15) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $1.05</font>, BB calls $1.05

Turn: ($3.25) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $1.50</font>, Hero calls $1.50

River: ($6.25) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero ?????</font>

Re: River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

I think it could work in this spot, he's shown a lot of weakness throughout the hand, especially on the turn with his own bet.

Re: River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

id raise the turn every time... river idk

Re: River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

don't likey, did not read

Re: River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

ur turn call might seem week to him and he might call u down light on this river id check behind

Re: River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

[ QUOTE ]
don't likey, did not read

[/ QUOTE ] ty for shareing this useless comment

Re: River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

I probably raise the turn, because his bet looks like he wants to get to the river cheaply. As played I probably check behind

Re: River Bluff, I likey. Anyone else?
 

What, exactly, do you think you're repping here? Would you smooth call the turn with AK? Do you believe he'd think you would?

He's probably calling with any kind of a hand, and my read on this would be a weak/middle ace. You're going to have to fire at the pot hard to have any real FE, and if he sees your line as suspect (i.e. drawing at the flush and bluffing the river when it misses), you're cooked.

On the other hand, you haven't shown a ton of weakness on this hand... but if I was him, I'd think your line reeks of busted flush draw or middle PP. Perhaps it's a bit results oriented, though.