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-   -   Deep. NL50 (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=540398)

hockeyf 11-07-2007 09:16 AM

Deep. NL50
 
The Villain (Ms.Click)is a decent NL50 player, haven't tangled with him that much. Both Villain and Hero is playing a TAG game. I think he has a few tricky plays in his arsenal.

Ongame converter
Hero ($122.35)
CO ($60)
Button ($123.60)
SB ($40.45)

ANTES/BLINDS
SB posts blind ($0.25), Hero posts blind ($0.50).


PRE-FLOP : Hero has Jhttp://ms12321.googlepages.com/spade.gif Jhttp://ms12321.googlepages.com/heart.gif
CO folds, Button bets $2, SB folds, Hero bets $6, Button calls $4.50.

FLOP: Ahttp://ms12321.googlepages.com/heart.gif Jhttp://ms12321.googlepages.com/diamond.gif 2http://ms12321.googlepages.com/heart.gif
Hero bets $8, Button calls $8.

TURN: Qhttp://ms12321.googlepages.com/club.gif
Hero bets $16, Button bets $40 !!!HERO DOES WHAT ?!? !!! <font color="red"> </font>

Profish2285 11-07-2007 09:19 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
Shoves with his set and happily looks at two pair.

IAGTTAYM 11-07-2007 09:27 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
Yeah, Im shoving here too.
Bet a little bit more on the turn, the pot is ~28 so maybe 20-24.

willyc 11-07-2007 09:37 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
Hmm. All-in but I think it is close. If we put her on a narrow range we are slightly behind, but I think we only need about 5% fold equity to make the shove good. If we also consider that she might do something stupid like call with a combo draw a very small percentage of the time then we can definitely justify shoving.

Board: Ah Jd 2h Qc

Wins Ties Equity
45.06% 0.00% 45.06% ( JsJh )
54.94% 0.00% 54.94% ( AA,QQ,AQ,AJ(25),KhQh(10),Th9h(10),KT,22 )

Edit: AJ added with .25 weight relative to other holdings

monkeymaps 11-07-2007 09:52 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
AJ has to be a small part of villans range too though less likley then the other hands.

as for the hand you have to push here if you got coolered by AA or QQ so be it.

thac 11-07-2007 09:54 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
I really don't like a push. He's very rarely gonna have hearts and a push can knock out a hand like AK. I'd call and lead the river (even a heart), we get looked up a lot lighter than if we shove the turn.

kolotoure 11-07-2007 09:58 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
Ms.Click is solid and never has AK here

Profish2285 11-07-2007 10:00 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
If he's solid then we pretty much have to c/f river if any broadway hits, no? I guess thats why I prefer a shove on the turn to avoid that situation in the first place.

thac 11-07-2007 10:01 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
[ QUOTE ]
Ms.Click is solid and never has AK here

[/ QUOTE ]

So we're looking at AQ, QQ, AA?

kolotoure 11-07-2007 10:02 AM

Re: Deep. NL50
 
Yea I'm just shoving the turn


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