NL 200; set gone wrong
 

how bad does this look? i should have bet about 6 bucks more on flop, but what about the rest? i raise this pre about 80 percent of time but mixed it up..

villain is 19/12/4/infinite river aggro over 120 hands and took a good 10-15 seconds to check flop. he and i have some history as i have 3 bet him about 4 times at two tables and then shoved him the one time he defended and raised my cbet; he folded.


Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $256
MP: $276.50
Hero (CO): $358.60
BTN: $200
SB: $206.20
BB: $246.35

Pre-Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, MP calls $2, Hero calls $2, <font color="red">BTN raises to $11</font>, SB folds, BB calls $9, MP folds, Hero calls $9

Flop: ($36) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $24</font>, BTN folds, BB calls $24

Turn: ($84) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $65</font>, Hero calls $65

River: ($214) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $97</font>, Hero folds

Results: $214 Pot ($3 Rake)
BB mucked and WON $211 (+$111 NET)

Re: NL 200; set gone wrong
 

meh looks ok to me. not much else you can do really on the flop + turn. maybe more on flop but it didnt really affect how this hand played out at all.

river is pretty close and probably doesnt matter much longterm if you call or fold. he might shows up with 2 pair and 9h9x-JhJx often enough to make it about neutral EV

Re: NL 200; set gone wrong
 

don't forget a lower set too could be his holding in addition to the 2 pair, don't know if he's betting the river with an overpair though...

still, tough spot with the cruddy turn, but this is OK