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-   -   Am I Up Against a Set (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=539567)

rwdvc 11-06-2007 08:03 AM

Am I Up Against a Set
 
What do we make of this hand? Do we have to assume the villain has a set?

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (CO): $35.85
BTN: $19.20
SB: $37.35
BB: $40
UTG: $26.70

Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.80</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $0.55

Flop: ($1.70) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $1.20</font>, BB calls $1.20

Turn: ($4.10) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.50</font>, BB calls $2.50

River: ($9.10) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $7</font>


matrix 11-06-2007 08:14 AM

Re: Am I Up Against a Set
 
sometimes a set - sometimes a fd that hit the river - sometimes a goofy 2pair - sometimes AK.

Vs the average microdonk tho and a good chunk of mcTAGs the c/c flop c/c turn bet river for close to pot line is a hand that beats TPGK.

Obv there are exceptions but this is almost never a bluff.

hendal 11-06-2007 08:17 AM

Re: Am I Up Against a Set
 
Me would assume a completed flush seen he kept cold callin until the third flushcard drops.

Villain played with wrong odds but got there this time.

Any stats reads that would help some.
EDIT: you've shown strenngth in the whole hand and suddenly villain bets out. That says somethin.

ama0330 11-06-2007 08:25 AM

Re: Am I Up Against a Set
 
A set is just one of many hands which you are behind on this river. I would fold without thinking too much about it.

andys0506 11-06-2007 09:04 AM

Re: Am I Up Against a Set
 
The way villain passively check called and then led out once the flush card hit - I'd say he has what he's telling you he has - Fold without a doubt


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