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-   -   NL 25 river bluff how did i do? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=539310)

FreshMeat 11-05-2007 10:56 PM

NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
villian is 65/2/0.3, i have seen him donk bluff the turn like this before and then give up to raises

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG+1: $23.15
UTG+2: $4.40
MP1: $57.95
MP2: $25
Hero (CO): $25.05
BTN: $25.15
SB: $5.65
BB: $38.75
UTG: $28.50

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $0.25, 3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $0.75, UTG+1 calls $0.75

Flop: ($3.10) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2</font>, BB calls $2, UTG+1 calls $2

Turn: ($9.10) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $4.25</font>, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls $4.25

River: ($17.60) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $17.80 and is All-In</font>

i thought this was pretty credible but i would like others opinions on the river and all streets as well.

pureCra2z 11-05-2007 11:11 PM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
I would check..

rdrr 11-05-2007 11:13 PM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
Wow... check here nearly 100% of the time

ship_it_trebek 11-06-2007 01:21 AM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
You'll get looked up so light here. If he's that loose hes showing up with 2pair here too nevermind the 8 or the Q

SABR42 11-06-2007 01:25 AM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
WTF just check river.

FreshMeat 11-06-2007 01:44 AM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
[ QUOTE ]
WTF just check river.

[/ QUOTE ]

WTF why? just looking for a reason thats all.

Chargers In 07 11-06-2007 02:11 AM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
WTF just check river.

[/ QUOTE ]

WTF why? just looking for a reason thats all.

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
villian is 65/2/0.3

[/ QUOTE ] these people are calling stations. No need to turn a made hand into a bluff because you're never folding a hand you beat.

eMedia 11-06-2007 02:28 AM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
WTF just check river

WantToLearn 11-06-2007 08:21 AM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
[ QUOTE ]
WTF why? just looking for a reason thats all.

[/ QUOTE ]

Just as you said, itīs a bluff because even tho you have a made hand, youīre not going to be called by anything you beat.

Taking rake into account, you need him to fold a hand that is better than yours ~53% of the time he has such a hand. (Didnīt do the exact maths.)

Given his stats, you are not going to get there.

Sounded Simple 11-06-2007 10:31 AM

Re: NL 25 river bluff how did i do?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Taking rake into account, you need him to fold a hand that is better than yours ~53% of the time he has such a hand. (Didnīt do the exact maths.)


[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed, I doubt this guy folds a better hand 0.053% here.

I have a note above my screen:
"What worse hands call? What better hands fold?"


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