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-   -   50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=538512)

onehandfold 11-04-2007 09:36 PM

50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
I strongly believe that pushing AK preflop is a profitable play at these stakes for one solid reason. There are not enough thinking, adjusting opponents at this level. Because of this, the range of hands that call a preflop push for 100 bets is wider than most would have you believe.

Heres the breakdown as I see it:
90% of the time the push goes uncontested
10% of the time, I get a call:
-1% of that is AA/KK
-5% is pocket pairs
-4% is two faces (Ax,KQ,JK,..)

Anyone casually watching the table will take notice of when a full buy-in gets shoved into the middle. The natural reaction seems to be "What a donkey". This allows me to extract more postflop.

If my AK gets showed down there is another benefit. I feel like I can freely open push with AA and KK with the same calling range.

Take a minute to think about that. I'm look forward to any thoughts!

GT30 11-04-2007 10:14 PM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
yea, i think you are right, this is slightly +EV

I think this would work at nl100 also

Johnes Benjamin 11-04-2007 10:49 PM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
LOL

syncmaster 11-04-2007 11:01 PM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
I think they should make 26 person tables for people like this.

onehandfold 11-04-2007 11:13 PM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
[ QUOTE ]
LOL

[/ QUOTE ]

You must have reasoning. Whats your basis for disagreeing? You have math to back up the laugh?

onehandfold 11-04-2007 11:15 PM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think they should make 26 person tables for people like this.

[/ QUOTE ]

Then I might reconsider...

25 people left to act if I push UTG...thats 12.5%? I can see how that'd work against me.

SABR42 11-04-2007 11:16 PM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
Go play a donkament or something.

Damntra 11-04-2007 11:27 PM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
[ QUOTE ]
Go play a donkament or something.

[/ QUOTE ]

*chuckle*

Split Suit 11-05-2007 12:03 AM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
is this a serious post?

onehandfold 11-05-2007 12:22 AM

Re: 50NL - I open push 100 bets with AK all day
 
Yes yes yes, trying to make it as serious as possible in order to get solid answers. I definitely didn't go into this without expecting empty responses, so I will try to continue to keep making reasonable posts.

Since the numbers I've crunched up seem to put me in +EV territory, I started some testing.

Its a small sample size, but I dont expect the BB/100 to change by much continuing this.

Here is my before:
http://img529.imageshack.us/img529/8...eakpushlw1.jpg

Here is my after:
http://img150.imageshack.us/img150/2...rakpushdn0.jpg

So, please...let me hear some thoughts on this. Do you think its -----EV, +++++EV, +Ev, -EV, 0EV.

It would help if I saw some other's AK stats too (with hopefully a bigger sample size).


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