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-   -   99 turned straight on 3 flush board (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=538250)

Profish2285 11-04-2007 02:43 PM

99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
Villain runs at 39/23/2.3. He has been fairly active at the table. The table is 5 handed right now which I why I decided to 3 bet pre.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

CO: $15.40
BTN: $41.15
Hero (SB): $28.80
BB: $19.10
UTG: $26.50

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (SB)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $0.85</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.80</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $1.95

Flop: ($5.85) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $3</font>, Hero calls $3

Turn: ($11.85) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $6</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $20.70 and is All-In</font>, Hero....

kroeliewoelie 11-04-2007 02:57 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
Against a range of 88-QQ,AK you have 40% equity. Since you are getting 37:14, or something like 2.7:1 it's a call against that range.

Against AK you have 12% equity. But including only JJ and QQ makes this a call. I think his range needs to be a little bit wider than AK and you are priced in.

JSmith2007 11-04-2007 03:04 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
I call all day long here. I think he played this very similarily as the way a hand like AQ or AJ would be played. Probably has AQ with the ace of spades figuring if you call with the straight, he has the flush out. The nut flush here is possible, although I'm not sure he wouldn't be 3 betting you with AKs.

Colm 11-04-2007 03:05 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
i think it's a fold, i just pokerstoved and i don't think you have enough equity, the range i put in you got about 25% equity... i didn't include much in the way of single spade Axs etc draws, but i don't know if he's pushing those here.

Check_The_Nuts 11-04-2007 03:08 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
not liking the flop peel at all really.

and lol at being nervous at stacking off on this turn when you hit.

Profish2285 11-04-2007 03:27 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
Do you just c/f flop then or b/f?

Profish2285 11-04-2007 04:11 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
Oh and fwiw, I snap called the shove, so I didnt give thought to folding.

Check_The_Nuts 11-04-2007 04:24 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
yeah don't like a flop peel because your OOP, and he likely has a king in his hand. Not to mention its impossible to bluff him off the turn if you don't hit, and when you do hit he won't always pay you off (especially with his entire stack).

This isn't even counting the times your drawing nearly dead to AK.

Profish2285 11-04-2007 04:28 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
So Im guessing you mean c/f?

Check_The_Nuts 11-04-2007 04:37 PM

Re: 99 turned straight on 3 flush board
 
yeah no other choice is very appealing besides check/fold. No idea why you'd think check/call would be good and betting this flop probably isn't a very good idea against most.


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