Aces in the $50k
 

Poker Stars, $50 + $5 NL Hold'em Tournament, 75/150 Blinds, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: 7,820
Hero (UTG+1): 14,085
UTG+2: 3,800
MP1: 14,130
MP2: 4,224
CO: 3,470
BTN: 2,340
SB: 4,535
BB: 5,060

Pre-Flop: (225) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG+1)
UTG calls 150, <font color="red">Hero raises to 525</font>, 3 folds, CO calls 525, 2 folds, BB calls 375, UTG calls 375

Flop: (2,175) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets 1,350</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to 2,700</font>, BB folds, <font color="red">UTG raises to 7,295 and is All-In</font>, Hero?

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

I think I can fold this pretty comfortably. Looking at a set here or 2 pair most of the time.

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

Ok your beat by one of them...UTG probably...CO never folding...I think you gotta stick it in there and...hope your not up vs set over set...hope your beating UTG...and just hope...like Jerry Yang hope...wouldn't hate a fold though I'm sure others might.

- JA

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

Tough situation...

Any reads?

UTG limps....You make a raise....CO calls with a lil less than 2-1. His range would be....fairly narrow AK-AJ suited (maybe) and 88-AA.

BB entry gives UTG little less than 4-1 odds. So....his range could be huge.....could have 22 - 1010 Ax, KX, suited connectors. (read would help narrow)

Based on the action post flop I woudl think that:

CO likely has over pair or trip 9s or 10s. If it was the CO alone I think you get em in here although its a bit of a crying raise as you would be behind some here.

UTG almost certain has trips....nothing else explains the betting unless you have a read on this guy being a donk and he is making a move with A10 or something. He's in good shape chip wise...why would he risk it it all on something like top pair with that much action?

Minus some pretty strong reads you gotta let this go. You still have about 12000 chips so you are in good shape...find a better spot and fold this.

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

I'd shove.

UTG's most likely hand is 33. But he could also have T9,78,JQ,JT. He might assume you have overcards, saw the CO move (almost A/I) and decided that his TP was good against the CO so he shoved to knock you out.

The CO has something stupid like AT or KT. T9 is also possible.

Anyhow, it's really a math problem but I think you are ahead often enough here to stick it in. Oh yeah, make it 600 PF.

Sherman

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

I fold. Probably up against a set somewhere.

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

I can't imagine us being ahead here. unless UTG is a total spewtard, he is not doing this with TP here and the chance of him making this play with QJ is remote imo.

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

Raise a full 4X at these stacks pre. No need to get cute. Flop is a god damn nightmare.

Considering the CO is short and UTG is deeper i kind of want to get it, but having some idea of how UTG plays would help a ton.

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

the prob of you already being behind + prob of getting drawn out on if ahead= fold

Re: Aces in the $50k
 

oh and this raise is a bit soft and a perfect example of giving everyone implied odds. they have a good idea you have a big hand and you have no idea about theirs.