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-   -   bottom 2 in limped pot (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=534651)

Jay_Whufc 10-30-2007 01:57 PM

bottom 2 in limped pot
 
Villain was 24/12/1.4 over 50 hands so not great sample size.
My table image was pretty poor as he had c/r a few of my cbets and shown air a few times and that got a few others at the table doing it too! I had obv started to tighten up but table was still well aware that I might have been getting frustrated (I wasnt, yet anyway!)
So anyway, is 3betting the flop a good idea?
Then its shove/fold time?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $60.55
MP: $51.25
CO: $46.10
BTN: $49.35
SB: $52.55
Hero (BB): $50

Pre-Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero checks

Flop: ($1.75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1.50</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $4.50</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $13.50</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $31.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero ?

Genesis 10-30-2007 02:03 PM

Re: bottom 2 in limped pot
 
What do you think his open limp preflop suggest he holds? I'm thinking he holds either a set or an overpair. Could he open limp TT+? Doesn't seem likely and nothing else makes much sense. I fold.

Aceium 10-30-2007 02:10 PM

Re: bottom 2 in limped pot
 
Let's assume that the bottom of his range is A9s.

Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 9s 4c 5h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
5d 4d 687 69.39 303 30.61 0 0.00 0.694
Ac 9c 303 30.61 687 69.39 0 0.00 0.306

You're getting about the right odds to call against A9, but you're not that far ahead. If we are assuming that this is the bottom range that he'll make this bet with, then you are probably a little farther behind. In that case, this is starting to look like a fold.


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