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-   -   Thin value bet (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=533269)

eBo 10-28-2007 05:00 PM

Thin value bet
 
Sunday 530

Normally I wouldn't value bet this, but my notes for villain say, "huge donk." Is this a smart value bet?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP3 (t11900)
Hero (t9600)
Button (t10425)
SB (t9875)
BB (t9925)
UTG (t10825)
UTG+1 (t9925)
MP1 (t9425)
MP2 (t8100)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to t150</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t500</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP1 calls t350.

Flop: (t1075) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets t150</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t800</font>, MP1 calls t650.

Turn: (t2675) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets t600</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t2300</font>, MP1 calls t1700.

River: (t7275) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t6000 (All-In)</font>, MP1 calls t5825 (All-In).

Final Pot: t18925

Ben86 10-28-2007 05:10 PM

Re: Thin value bet
 
wow i really dont like this spot. im pretty sure hed open jam if he was chasing a flush. but what calls you? is he so bad that he pays down with KQ/QQ/KJ something like that? Im honestly starting to think he has AA.

getballed 10-28-2007 05:27 PM

Re: Thin value bet
 
This is a horrible line for him to take. Im sure he would of jammed a FD instead of bet weak only to call raises. This tends to look like AA possibly QQ (if hes a donk).

Check behind the river, no clue what he has here.

Ansky 10-28-2007 05:32 PM

Re: Thin value bet
 
raise more on flop raise more on turn, river is standard/ez.

d2themfi 10-28-2007 05:32 PM

Re: Thin value bet
 
i think this is fine given his two weak leads and then checking once the flush got there. Most of the time these guys will lead the river for atleast halfpot if they were on the flush draw the whole time.

You might be up against AA some here , but also KQ, KJ. Idk I think it is thin, but +EV

runhot 10-28-2007 05:55 PM

Re: Thin value bet
 
thats some thin a$$ value right thur.. only hand u beat is KQ QQ, i think.. wuduh i kno tho.

i dont ever go for value there but im not that good.

but play flop, turn same.

ILOVEGRIMSTARR 10-28-2007 06:49 PM

Re: Thin value bet
 
Everything is fine besides OTR. I just hate a shove here, and I don't see him calling with anything that you have beat tbh.


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