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-   -   22$ Stars - AJs midgame (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=531147)

maddis 10-25-2007 02:21 PM

22$ Stars - AJs midgame
 
arrived at the table 1 hand ago -> no read. is this play stupid?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 (t17001)
MP3 (t6810)
CO (t24556)
Button (t4798)
Hero (t11915)
BB (t16679)
UTG (t4779)
UTG+1 (t32863)
MP1 (t2589)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif.
[color=#666666]2 folds</font>, [color=#CC3333]MP1 raises to t2539</font>, [color=#666666]1 fold</font>, MP3 calls t2539, [color=#666666]2 folds</font>, [color=#CC3333]Hero raises to t11865</font>, [color=#666666]1 fold</font>, MP3 folds.

Dunkman 10-25-2007 02:30 PM

Re: 22$ Stars - AJs midgame
 
I don't know about stupid, but here's how I break it down. First, MP1 has 4 BBs, so he could have anything. However, MP3 didn't have to get involved with 4 people left to act, and he did. Also, he just called, which could mean he has a monster looking for all the action he can get, or it could mean he's an idiot with a hand like A9 and was scared to put the rest of his stack in. On balance I think I'd be spooked enough by MP3's flat call for 40% of his stack to fold here. If we shove we should have 0 FE over MP3, although I've seen worse folds than this. We're gonna be crippled if we lose this hand, and I really have no idea where we are, so I think I'd let it pass.


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