Two Plus Two Newer Archives - 200NL 3bet + Metagame + Bluff(?)

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200NL 3bet + Metagame + Bluff(?)

Villain is BamYeah on FT. He's a very agro regular who seems pretty good, although he can get out of line at times. We have some very aggressive history playing with one other. He sees me as a Nit/TAG with a handful of tricks.

SB is the big fish in the game. He's not positionally aware and only calls 3bets with great hands.

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

MP ($212.95)
CO ($497.80)
Hero ($237)
SB ($51.10)
BB ($220)
UTG ($170.20)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
3 folds, Hero raises to $7, SB calls $6, BB raises to $30, Hero calls $23, SB folds.

Flop: ($67) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $45, Hero raises to $207 (All-In)

Preflop: Villain's BB 3bet/squeeze range is massive, as he knows I'm opening the button quite lightly. I considered 4betting here, but the above-average sized 3bet (due to SB calling), along with the possibility of him tagging along, influenced me to call. Folding is a mistake against villain's enormous range.

Flop: I know that villain fires 100% on of boards with any holdings he would 3bet/squeeze with. I'm know that I'm ahead of the majority of his range at this point and that calling would land me in a handful of really difficult situations. I think he's very capable of shoving any turn on a complete bluff if I call because he narrows my range to marginal holdings (88+ no heart) and any A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Given that, I typically only call a turn shove with a really strong hand. If he was planning on doing this I think it would have been a great play.

So explaining what I thought he'd do on the turn if I call leads me to why I shoved the flop. It shuts down the majority of his range (which is air), and gives TT-AA (no hearts) a very tough call. If he calls with something like AK with a heart I'm flipping and am still +EV given the money already invested.

Agree/Disagree?