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-   -   Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=523221)

GUG01 10-15-2007 03:22 AM

Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
Recently I shattered my Poker Stars bankroll of ~17k by
tilting/playing under rolled/running horribly etc

90% of losses came over 2 days playing 600nl heads up

I ended with ~$5k, cashed out $3k, and left my roll at $2k

I learned my lesson for a lifetime, and have come up with a hardcore regime to take poker to the next level for myself.

Background: Started playing 4 months ago, played every level all the way from 1/2 cent nl on stars up to 400nl. Played mostly full ring. Long journey, and have learned to play poker well along the way.

The next level: Currently in college, but will attempt to do 35-40 hours per week regardless. Keeping an excel spreadsheet with all info the whole way.

Here's the plan, Feel free to comment
-Everything will be done 4 tabling/Full ring.
-I'm also supernova, so rake back will help a little

Current Roll: 3.5k
-----------Hourly-----Bankroll
200nl----- ~$100 3.5k--->10k
400nl----- ~$160 10k---->18k
600nl----- ~$240 18k---->35k
1000nl---- ~$400 35k---->80k
2000nl---- ~$800 80k---->250k

Time at to complete = 321 hours, most being spent on 2k nl
Theoretically an amazing player could do this in 3.3 months

I'm giving myself ~1 year to compete the task
Long shot, but it's always good to set goals.
Possible? Reasonable? Worthwhile? (I don't care, I'm doing it anyways)


All of this will be done on Poker Stars

Ryanj37 10-15-2007 03:27 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
Good luck

Grinding2Ecstasy 10-15-2007 03:37 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
yawn... I'll take 10:1 odds against this plan lasting six months

LifeTilt 10-15-2007 03:41 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
[ QUOTE ]
yawn... I'll take 10:1 odds against this plan lasting a month

[/ QUOTE ]
fyp

illini43 10-15-2007 04:15 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
I don't think you can make $100/hour 4-tabling NL200.

Running at a very nice 5ptbb/100 clip would mean you are making $20/100 hands. Assuming you can get in 300 hands at the most (more like 250) per hour, you would be making $50-60/hour - and that is figuring you are running hot. You would need to 8-table 200NL at 5ptbb/100 to make $100/hour...

GUG01 10-15-2007 04:21 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
Selecting for fast tables, I can almost always get ~320-350 per hour on Stars. I also beat 200nl for more than 5 PTBB per hour, it's 600nl+ which will be the problem.

holdem2000 10-15-2007 04:26 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
So having never regularly played higher than 400nl you think you can beat 2000nl for $800/hour? [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]

How small is your sample size that you think you can beat even 200nl for 8ptBB/100?

Edit: if you were playing on PartyPoker ~2 years ago this would be a completely plausible plan.

Edit again: Also, you think you'll have the same winrate (in BB's) at 400nl and 2000nl??

illini43 10-15-2007 04:26 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
[ QUOTE ]
Selecting for fast tables, I can almost always get ~320-350 per hour on Stars. I also beat 200nl for more than 5 PTBB per hour, it's 600nl+ which will be the problem.

[/ QUOTE ]

EVEN if you play fast tables on Stars that get you 350 hands/hour (unrealistic IMO). You would need to make $28.57/100 hands (7.14 ptbb/100) to get $100 hour.

I will bet you that you cannot run your roll from 3.5k to 10k playing ONLY 1/2 NL in 70 hours AT THE MAXIMUM.

rdrr 10-15-2007 04:28 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
[ QUOTE ]
So having never regularly played higher than 400nl you think you can beat 2000nl for $800/hour? [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]

How small is your sample size that you think you can beat even 200nl for 8ptBB/100?

Edit: if you were playing on PartyPoker ~2 years ago this would be a completely plausible plan.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm gonna guess a whopping 25k hands. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

GUG01 10-15-2007 04:37 AM

Re: Turning $3,500 into $250,000 in less than ~12 months
 
The dollars per hour is more theoretical than anything else, if it wasn't, I'd be giving myself 3-4 months to do this instead of 12. The dollars per hour is just 5 PTBB per hour, hence the win rate doesn't decline with the increase of stakes.

I'm just curious to see exactly how long it'll take me to accomplish this working by the bankroll requirements I listed.


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