Big draw has showdown value?
 

Commerce 20/40. Villain has been reading a magazine and playing mostly TAG PF, mediocre postflop. One hand of note he posted in the CO, called a raise with 32 offsuit I believe, raise a QJ2 flop 3 way, raised a 3 turn HU on the turn and bet a Q river when he got counterfeit. Other than that he's been fairly tight.

I raise K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] EP, he calls in the BB.

Flop J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

I bet, he calls

Turn 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

I bet, he check/raises, I call

River A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

He bets, I raise.

What about 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] on the river?

Re: Big draw has showdown value?
 

A 2 on the river and you fold, magazine reading commerce nits, dont c/r PFRs w/o a pair. As for the Ace-river-bluff, how old are you? Over 40, you've got a shot, under, no way in hell he calls all day.

Re: Big draw has showdown value?
 

I think you have no prayer on either card.

Re: Big draw has showdown value?
 

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I think you have no prayer on either card.

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Yeah, I dont think I've ever seen someone raise the turn and fold the river. In my experience, this line is super strong from a live player.

Re: Big draw has showdown value?
 

[ QUOTE ]
As for the Ace-river-bluff, how old are you? Over 40, you've got a shot, under, no way in hell he calls all day.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is very true in Vegas... but in LA... where a large percentage of bluffers actually DO have grey hair... this river bluff is pretty useless