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-   -   Combo Draw on Turn (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=517282)

finalboarder 10-07-2007 12:40 AM

Combo Draw on Turn
 
Villian is 54/2.4/1 over about 50 hands. I'm been running bad with cards so I appear to be very nitty. I don't have any other reads on him.

I don't see how his hand could have improved much on the turn so I feel like he might be too strong. I felt like either folding or shoving was the best option but I wasn't sure which one I should choose.


Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.10 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($13.34)
UTG ($4.90)
Hero ($11.09)
Button ($9.35)
SB ($2)

Preflop: Hero is MP with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.4</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $0.30.

Flop: ($0.85) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $0.6</font>, BB calls $0.60.

Turn: ($2.05) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $2.05</font>

DaycareInferno 10-07-2007 12:48 AM

Re: Combo Draw on Turn
 
i would call. with an ag of 1 and fish stats like that. its very likely he'll pay you off if you hit your draw. i definately wouldn't shove.

Logun 10-07-2007 12:57 AM

Re: Combo Draw on Turn
 
I would say he has a K in this situation and wanted to see the turn before putting pressure on you.

I think that the FD (club draw) really takes away from some of your clean outs.

I thnk I might fold here as I don't believer your odds+implied give you justification for calling

schaef 10-07-2007 01:09 AM

Re: Combo Draw on Turn
 
Estimate how often you'll get paid off on the river if you hit, and how often he'll fold if you push... there's your answer. Assuming a micro stakes station that'll almost never fold to a raise, but pay off lots of rivers, a call is probably +EV.


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