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-   -   Can i not go broke here? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=508460)

popeye18 09-24-2007 05:40 PM

Can i not go broke here?
 
Villain is like 18/14.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($32.75)
CO ($55.15)
Hero ($29.80)
SB ($48.90)
BB ($10.15)
UTG ($24.30)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, SB calls $0.90, BB calls $0.75.

Flop: ($3) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2</font>, SB calls $2, BB folds.

Turn: ($7) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $13</font>,

jiacstrap 09-24-2007 05:45 PM

Re: Can i not go broke here?
 
you don't have much in the pot and 9 10 seems right... but you still have outs

mvdgaag 09-24-2007 05:50 PM

Re: Can i not go broke here?
 
allin, ez

Waingro 09-24-2007 05:51 PM

Re: Can i not go broke here?
 
Your bet-sizing flat out sucks. Bet more on the flop, bet more on the turn. You have a monster, you want to get some value. From the tone of your post I assume villain showed 9T here? If villain only ever pulls this line with legit "monsters", there is still plenty of hands you beat. Add in stuff like AA, AQ, QT etc and this is a clear push. You canīt narrow down villains holding to a single hand after this action.

MattyTrane 09-24-2007 06:18 PM

Re: Can i not go broke here?
 
I think his bet size on the flop is fine.. its 2/3, but I agree your bet on the turn is weak. I think you push here, there's just too many hands you're way ahead of at this point to let the hand go.

CruS 09-24-2007 06:58 PM

Re: Can i not go broke here?
 
I think betting 2 on the flop is fine, maybe 2.5 would be slightly better though

kevin017 09-24-2007 07:20 PM

Re: Can i not go broke here?
 
flop bet is fine, tiny bit bigger turn bet would be good, and i go all-in here every time.

Pokey 09-24-2007 07:44 PM

Re: Can i not go broke here?
 
[ QUOTE ]
you don't have much in the pot and 9 10 seems right... but you still have outs

[/ QUOTE ]

This is insane. I three-bet all-in without the slightest hesitation at this point. Villain's range includes all sorts of things that we blow out of the water:

AA
KK
A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
88
55

Of course, without knowing villain's postflop habits I can't be SURE this is a good play, but against a standard unknown here you are ahead FAR more often than you are behind. Get the money in and don't worry about it. If he's got exactly T9 you've still got outs to a winner, and if he's got exactly QQ then more power to him.


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