Two Plus Two Newer Archives

Two Plus Two Newer Archives (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Full Ring (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=80)
-   -   Value bet here? 10nl (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=492487)

Peleus 09-03-2007 06:55 AM

Value bet here? 10nl
 
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $12.30
Hero (BB): $13.55
UTG: $4.05
UTG+1: $11.85
MP1: $3.50
MP2: $5.40
MP3: $28.10
CO: $11.00
BTN: $4.70

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players)
5 folds, CO calls $0.10, BTN folds, SB calls $0.05, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.50</font>, CO calls $0.40, SB folds

Flop: ($1.10) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $0.60</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $1.50</font>, Hero calls $0.90

Turn: ($4.10) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $2.00</font>, Hero calls $2.00

River: ($8.10) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero ????

Villain running at 37/0/3 over only 21 hands.

I do have trips, however I feel there is a reasonable chance I'm up against a set. Is checking here awful, or a reasonable move?

No1Addict 09-03-2007 07:07 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
chek and call. I think he might also have an ace, maybe a flush draw that missed. He will bet the river with hands he won't call with.

BotOnTilt 09-03-2007 07:22 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
Those stats are from a very small sample. But my guess is that he could also have an ace and you might have a better kicker, which leads me to think that he could already have a full, unless of course he had a set and made it that way.

Since villain has about a pot-sized stack left and has shown strength, I think you will probably get to play for stacks regardless if you bet or check. If you check he might only bet $4-5 though and I'm not folding. If he was raising the flop with a draw he probably missed so if you check he might bet with a weaker hand, since you checked the turn.

countzerO 09-03-2007 07:25 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
I dont think you're up against a busted draw, but I'd c/call the river anyway.

skydancing8 09-03-2007 07:54 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
If you're not folding to a push here I would bet this river.

IlliniDave 09-03-2007 08:24 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
Villain's combination of bets on flop and turn seem to me like AhXh (tried to build pot on flop for flush draw and bet half pot to push you off weaker checked hand on turn). I'd bet 2/3 pot on river and fold to raise.

skydancing8 09-03-2007 08:30 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
So you'd bet 5.50 and fold for 2.50 more?

FireStorm 09-03-2007 09:15 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
Bet here please, $4.

Teddie 09-03-2007 10:28 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
If we are are betting and calling a shove should we not just shove it ourselves?

No-one holding an Ace will find a fold here and everyhand that beat us will most likely raise us all-in anyway.

BotOnTilt 09-03-2007 10:32 AM

Re: Value bet here? 10nl
 
[ QUOTE ]
If we are are betting and calling a shove should we not just shove it ourselves?

[/ QUOTE ]

We have zero FE against better hands, and a missed draw will not call AI, so what's the point in a shove? I guess any Ace will bet the river if we check, and maybe villain can bluff with a weaker hand.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:55 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.