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-   -   Weird river overbet... (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=483180)

urbanati 08-21-2007 05:46 PM

Weird river overbet...
 
Bluff or nuts?
Villain is 43/21/2.6, river aggression: 1.8.
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
urbanati: $212.35
CO: $59.90
Button: $204.10
SB: $207.40
BB: $204.30

Pre-flop: (5 players) urbanati is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">urbanati raises to $7</font>, 3 folds, BB calls.

Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($15, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">urbanati bets $10</font>, BB calls.

Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($35, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets $22</font>, urbanati calls.

River: 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($79, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB is all-in $165.3</font>, urbanati...

shadow33 08-21-2007 05:58 PM

Re: Weird river overbet...
 
Call - His range wide from 77-JJ to A7 scared of a flush draw or even 65 or 76.

Womble 08-21-2007 06:02 PM

Re: Weird river overbet...
 
Bet more on flop
Raise turn

I think this is very close. Stats dont help much here. He could be bluffing with 2.6 aggro factor but I think 2 pair is more likely

Nielsio 08-21-2007 06:13 PM

Re: Weird river overbet...
 
This is really really read dependent.

I have no idea.

johnnypokeher 08-21-2007 06:42 PM

Re: Weird river overbet...
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bet more on flop
Raise turn

This guy has it right, for shizzel. At least you know where you stand

bubaloo 08-21-2007 06:47 PM

Re: Weird river overbet...
 
this feels a lot like 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], a little like 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

if he is a Lag-donk i call, if he is competent i fold.

Edit: on second thought, this line makes a lot of sense in the context of him have 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], c/c flop -- he could have anything draw/set/mid PP, his turn bet feels like he picked up a draw and is block betting. the river he could jsut be shoving to get you off 99-QQ/missed draw. this is a bit of a rant, but i like putting ppl on exact hands.



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