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-   -   Bottom is in? Anatomy of a Key Reversal Day (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=479234)

UrmaBlume 08-16-2007 04:34 PM

Bottom is in? Anatomy of a Key Reversal Day
 
Quote from a post made this morning before the open

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showth...=0#Post11693267

Nite Session Heads Up - Reversal Near?

"On the day of the reversal there will be nothing but sellers, all hope lost, market down dramatically early with later reversal, close near highs and huge volume"

That happened, in spades, today. Do you think it will hold?

Below is a pictue in the micro time frame of the bottom which was established at seconds past 1000 AM Vegas time.

While the graph covers only 13 minutes of the 7 hour session it does, for some, pinpoint the bottom.

In the graph you will notice lower lows and lower highs in both price and the buy/sell power indicator until 1000 and then higher highs and higher lows in both. The red measures selling and the blue buying, from this graph you can see the moment of change, almost no buying before and very little selling after.

Do you think this bottom will hold? Do you think we will make new highs from here?

I think this is the start of a tradeable rally but that it will fail to make new highs. The standard description of the first major rally in a Bear Market is that it is very vigorous but fails just short of new highs.



http://www.tradepointtechnologies.com/Bottom1.jpg

sebbb 08-16-2007 04:43 PM

Re: Bottom is in? Anatomy of a Key Reversal Day
 
I think from a candlestick pattern point of view we have seen a hammer today, which is a sign of reversal.

There's one thing missing at this point:

"The following day needs to confirm the Hammer signal with a strong bullish day."

pokerpunchout 08-16-2007 05:11 PM

Re: Bottom is in? Anatomy of a Key Reversal Day
 
I agree. Looks like 10% correction bottom. Technical looks textbook, hopefully we go positive tomorrow.

Tweety 08-16-2007 09:10 PM

Re: Bottom is in? Anatomy of a Key Reversal Day
 
Charts really don't mean all that much in this environment.

UrmaBlume 08-16-2007 09:19 PM

Value of Charts
 
The value of charts in any enviornment depends equally on the quality of the chart and the expertise of the person using the chart.

I trade the micro time frames and my trading is 100% based on real-time 1 minute and lower time frame charts while referencing 2 higher time frames.

greg nice 08-16-2007 09:40 PM

Re: Value of Charts
 
wow you people really are blind

anyone long in this market will get killed

UrmaBlume 08-16-2007 09:43 PM

Key Reversal
 
Did you notice a key reversal today on huge volume. Talk about blind.

Fishhead24 08-16-2007 10:06 PM

Re: Value of Charts
 
[ QUOTE ]
wow you people really are blind

anyone long in this market will get killed

[/ QUOTE ]

Until March 3rd, 2008 probably not killed, but they will have a tough time making a buck.

greg nice 08-16-2007 10:11 PM

Re: Key Reversal
 
[ QUOTE ]
Did you notice a key reversal today on huge volume. Talk about blind.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol

go buy countrywide with the other bulls4life on this forum

Jimbo 08-17-2007 01:51 AM

Re: Value of Charts
 
[ QUOTE ]
wow you people really are blind

anyone long in this market will get killed

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm long MSFT, NAT and AUY. Should I use my revolver or slow acting poisen.

On a side note, Bears are funny creatures, don't you guys ever hibernate? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Jimbo


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