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-   -   KQs busted flush river decision (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=476088)

unzip 08-12-2007 11:51 PM

KQs busted flush river decision
 
Villain is 33/11/1.44 over 70 hands. Whats your river line here? Comments on flop/turn play also welcome.


0.25/0.50 Hold'em (10 handed)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $0.25.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>.

Flop: (5.40 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: (4.70 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: (6.70 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero ???

Shillx 08-13-2007 12:00 AM

Re: KQs busted flush river decision
 
I'd start by checking

Aaron W. 08-13-2007 12:03 AM

Re: KQs busted flush river decision
 
I'd check-call or bet-fold. Having a read would influence the decision one way or the other. My default would be to bet-fold because he's not not likely betting a lot of medium strength hands (which you beat) on this scary board.

00Snitch 08-13-2007 12:06 AM

Re: KQs busted flush river decision
 
lol i dunno. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

There isn't much that MP2 bets here that you beat. He's gunna be pretty brave to fire again with KT/JT, i guess he'll bet QJ, all those are only a few combos, K9.

I think I can probably find enough worse hands that will call a bet to bet/fold this.

Whats his wtsd? With a high (say high 30s or 40) wtsd, I would like a bet more, thinking that I will get paid off more often by the Tx and 9x hands that raise this flop. I think QJ will always call, so that is good too.

00Snitch 08-13-2007 12:07 AM

Re: KQs busted flush river decision
 
damnit! it takes me so long to write my post that everyone responds before me and now i look like a copy-cat!

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

00Snitch 08-13-2007 12:08 AM

Re: KQs busted flush river decision
 
Hrmmm, Shillx, did you notice that we don't actually have two opponents as the converter suggests on the river.

KitCloudkicker 08-13-2007 12:10 AM

Re: KQs busted flush river decision
 
B/f.

he'll check all hands we beat. but he might call a bet.

he'll bet all hands we dont beat if we check.

he'll raise all hands we dont beat.


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