hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

Villain looks like a nit 17/7/.7
anyone let go of this on flop?
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $101.25
Hero (BB): $100.00
UTG: $156.80
MP: $110.50
CO: $232.85
BTN: $117.65

Preflop: Hero is dealt 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $1.00, MP folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $5.00</font>, BTN calls $5.00, SB calls $4.50, Hero calls $4.00, UTG folds

Flop: ($21) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $15.00</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $48.00</font>

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

I wouldn't. With only those stats as a read, why can't he have a FD, or even TPTK?

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

i'm pushing here. If he has AA then so be it. He can easily have AK, AQ and be protecting against draw.

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

nit only called preflop raise.
so you will see here AK waaaaay more often than AA and never 35.
44 is possible, but
you just can't let it go.
just shove and expect to win.

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

SB just called the raise, and didnt re-raise, especially being out of position. I doubt he has AA. I put him on AK or AQ, protecting against the flush draw.

In addition, you have already invested 20% of your stack in the middle. I'm shoving here.

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

With everyone folding I can't believe no one out of all these callers had an ace. Besides, 5h6h is in his range too. Sick, but I can't fold this.

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

lol def not on that flop.

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

nits call pf raises with AK. it's often not in their 3bet range. many more AK (or even AQ/A2s) than there are 44/AA. 17% vpip is not that nitty.

edit: oh, i see he c/r'd the flop. well that leans the scales a little more towards 44. i'd expect top pair to lead alot, but who knows. sometimes it's impossible to read these mongoloids, which is why i default to combos in these weird spots.

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

cool makes sense
glad i shoved

Re: hit bottom set...and am thinking of folding?!??!?
 

what did he have? not beacaue i care if you won or not, but just to give me a better sense of what these nittish players c/r with on that flop?