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-   -   is this statistically imposible? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=464387)

facepull 07-30-2007 06:28 AM

is this statistically imposible?
 
it has been exactly 827 hands since the last time i have been dealt pocket aces on-line!

QuietEarner 07-30-2007 06:53 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
I feel a heater coming!! start open pushing so they'll be suprised to see your aces.

unseen 07-30-2007 07:01 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
Why should it?

If I recall it right the odds of getting dealt specific PP (in your example AA) are about 1:220, but that does not mean you have to get it in this interval.

The random distribution is always evaluated over a virtually endless count of samples. However 800 hands are a way to small sample to figure if the card distribution is truly random.

HTH

mvdgaag 07-30-2007 07:27 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
there is a 2.35% chance for you not to have been dealt pocket aces in 827 hands.

this happens to one in 43 people.

facepull 07-30-2007 07:32 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
why the hell does it have to be me

DeliciousBass 07-30-2007 07:35 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Is this statistically impossible?

[/ QUOTE ]

FYT and no...it's statistically improbable, but clearly not impossible as you hold the proof.

deucethree 07-30-2007 08:18 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
If all 43 only see 827 hands in their poker career. If you play a lot of poker this will happen to you.

facepull 07-30-2007 08:37 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
in my lifetime i have been dealt on the net something like 100k hands so far. i just cant remember not getting aa for this long.

btmagnetw 07-30-2007 08:44 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
i bet lots of people go through these kinds of streaks. they just don't count them.

jasonfish11 07-30-2007 09:44 AM

Re: is this statistically imposible?
 
Dont feel too bad. In 1000 hands I had AA 9 times and lost (or folded) with them 8 times. I was down 52BB in those 9 hands.

The one win I had was for 1.5BB.


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